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Article: A global assessment of the impact of school closure in reducing COVID-19 spread

TitleA global assessment of the impact of school closure in reducing COVID-19 spread
Authors
Keywordssusceptibility
infectiousness
epidemiology
SARS-CoV-2
school closure
Issue Date2022
PublisherThe Royal Society Publishing. The Journal's web site is located at http://rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org
Citation
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 2022, v. 380 n. 2214, p. article no. 20210124 How to Cite?
AbstractProlonged school closure has been adopted worldwide to control COVID-19. Indeed, UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization figures show that two-thirds of an academic year was lost on average worldwide due to COVID-19 school closures. Such pre-emptive implementation was predicated on the premise that school children are a core group for COVID-19 transmission. Using surveillance data from the Chinese cities of Shenzhen and Anqing together, we inferred that compared with the elderly aged 60 and over, children aged 18 and under and adults aged 19–59 were 75% and 32% less susceptible to infection, respectively. Using transmission models parametrized with synthetic contact matrices for 177 jurisdictions around the world, we showed that the lower susceptibility of school children substantially limited the effectiveness of school closure in reducing COVID-19 transmissibility. Our results, together with recent findings that clinical severity of COVID-19 in children is lower, suggest that school closure may not be ideal as a sustained, primary intervention for controlling COVID-19.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/309073
ISSN
2023 Impact Factor: 4.3
2023 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.870
PubMed Central ID
ISI Accession Number ID

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorWu, JT-
dc.contributor.authorMei, S-
dc.contributor.authorLuo, S-
dc.contributor.authorLeung, K-
dc.contributor.authorLIU, D-
dc.contributor.authorLv, Q-
dc.contributor.authorLiu, J-
dc.contributor.authorLi, Y-
dc.contributor.authorPrem, K-
dc.contributor.authorJit, M-
dc.contributor.authorWeng, J-
dc.contributor.authorFeng, T-
dc.contributor.authorZheng, X-
dc.contributor.authorLeung, GM-
dc.date.accessioned2021-12-14T01:40:13Z-
dc.date.available2021-12-14T01:40:13Z-
dc.date.issued2022-
dc.identifier.citationPhilosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 2022, v. 380 n. 2214, p. article no. 20210124-
dc.identifier.issn1364-503X-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/309073-
dc.description.abstractProlonged school closure has been adopted worldwide to control COVID-19. Indeed, UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization figures show that two-thirds of an academic year was lost on average worldwide due to COVID-19 school closures. Such pre-emptive implementation was predicated on the premise that school children are a core group for COVID-19 transmission. Using surveillance data from the Chinese cities of Shenzhen and Anqing together, we inferred that compared with the elderly aged 60 and over, children aged 18 and under and adults aged 19–59 were 75% and 32% less susceptible to infection, respectively. Using transmission models parametrized with synthetic contact matrices for 177 jurisdictions around the world, we showed that the lower susceptibility of school children substantially limited the effectiveness of school closure in reducing COVID-19 transmissibility. Our results, together with recent findings that clinical severity of COVID-19 in children is lower, suggest that school closure may not be ideal as a sustained, primary intervention for controlling COVID-19.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.publisherThe Royal Society Publishing. The Journal's web site is located at http://rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org-
dc.relation.ispartofPhilosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences-
dc.rightsThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.-
dc.subjectsusceptibility-
dc.subjectinfectiousness-
dc.subjectepidemiology-
dc.subjectSARS-CoV-2-
dc.subjectschool closure-
dc.titleA global assessment of the impact of school closure in reducing COVID-19 spread-
dc.typeArticle-
dc.identifier.emailWu, JT: joewu@hku.hk-
dc.identifier.emailLeung, K: ksmleung@hku.hk-
dc.identifier.emailLeung, GM: gmleung@hku.hk-
dc.identifier.authorityWu, JT=rp00517-
dc.identifier.authorityLeung, K=rp02563-
dc.identifier.authorityLeung, GM=rp00460-
dc.description.naturepublished_or_final_version-
dc.identifier.doi10.1098/rsta.2021.0124-
dc.identifier.pmid34802277-
dc.identifier.pmcidPMC8607143-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-85122311764-
dc.identifier.hkuros330802-
dc.identifier.volume380-
dc.identifier.issue2214-
dc.identifier.spagearticle no. 20210124-
dc.identifier.epagearticle no. 20210124-
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000720844400009-
dc.publisher.placeUnited Kingdom-

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