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Article: Expectation Dependence: The Banking Firm Under Risk
Title | Expectation Dependence: The Banking Firm Under Risk |
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Authors | |
Issue Date | 2016 |
Publisher | Oxford University Press. The Journal's web site is located at http://amrx.oxfordjournals.org |
Citation | Applied Mathematics Research eXpress, 2016, v. 216 n. 2, p. 281-288 How to Cite? |
Abstract | This paper examines the optimal lending and hedging decisions of a bank facing uncertain returns on its loans. The bank's preferences are state-dependent in that the utility function depends on a state variable, i.e. the business cycle of the economy. The purpose of this paper is to complement the results of the banking literature. To characterize the bank's optimal use of financial instruments to hedge, we show that the concept of expectation dependence (Wright, 1987) is useful. While the current hedging literature specifies price risk as a monotonically increasing or decreasing function of the state-variable plus noise, expectation dependence provides much more general bivariate dependence structure. The bank's optimal futures position is an under-hedge or an over-hedge, depending on whether the random return on loans is positively or negatively correlated with the business cycle of the economy in the sense of expectation dependence, respectively. The bank as such takes dependencies into consideration when devising its optimal hedging strategy. |
Persistent Identifier | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/234855 |
ISSN | 2020 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.763 |
ISI Accession Number ID |
DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.contributor.author | Broll, U | - |
dc.contributor.author | Welzel, P | - |
dc.contributor.author | Wong, KP | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2016-10-14T13:49:41Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2016-10-14T13:49:41Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2016 | - |
dc.identifier.citation | Applied Mathematics Research eXpress, 2016, v. 216 n. 2, p. 281-288 | - |
dc.identifier.issn | 1687-1200 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/234855 | - |
dc.description.abstract | This paper examines the optimal lending and hedging decisions of a bank facing uncertain returns on its loans. The bank's preferences are state-dependent in that the utility function depends on a state variable, i.e. the business cycle of the economy. The purpose of this paper is to complement the results of the banking literature. To characterize the bank's optimal use of financial instruments to hedge, we show that the concept of expectation dependence (Wright, 1987) is useful. While the current hedging literature specifies price risk as a monotonically increasing or decreasing function of the state-variable plus noise, expectation dependence provides much more general bivariate dependence structure. The bank's optimal futures position is an under-hedge or an over-hedge, depending on whether the random return on loans is positively or negatively correlated with the business cycle of the economy in the sense of expectation dependence, respectively. The bank as such takes dependencies into consideration when devising its optimal hedging strategy. | - |
dc.language | eng | - |
dc.publisher | Oxford University Press. The Journal's web site is located at http://amrx.oxfordjournals.org | - |
dc.relation.ispartof | Applied Mathematics Research eXpress | - |
dc.rights | Post-print: This is a pre-copy-editing, author-produced PDF of an article accepted for publication in [Applied Mathematics Research eXpress] following peer review. The definitive publisher-authenticated version [Applied Mathematics Research eXpress, 2016, v. 216 n. 2, p. 281-288] is available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/amrx/abw005 | - |
dc.title | Expectation Dependence: The Banking Firm Under Risk | - |
dc.type | Article | - |
dc.identifier.email | Wong, KP: kpwongc@hkucc.hku.hk | - |
dc.identifier.authority | Wong, KP=rp01112 | - |
dc.description.nature | postprint | - |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1093/amrx/abw005 | - |
dc.identifier.scopus | eid_2-s2.0-84992027394 | - |
dc.identifier.hkuros | 269369 | - |
dc.identifier.volume | 216 | - |
dc.identifier.issue | 2 | - |
dc.identifier.spage | 281 | - |
dc.identifier.epage | 288 | - |
dc.identifier.isi | WOS:000398374000003 | - |
dc.publisher.place | United Kingdom | - |
dc.identifier.issnl | 1687-1197 | - |