Triple Antihypertensive Medication Prediction Score After Intracerebral Hemorrhage (the TRICH Score)

Abstract

<p>Background and Objectives Poor long-term blood pressure (BP) control due to undertreatment of hypertension is not uncommon after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). It heightens the risk of ICH recurrence and subsequent stroke, which is the highest within the first year. Promptly achieving BP targets would significantly reduce these risks. To accomplish this, upfront triple antihypertensive medications could be prescribed soon after ICH because many ICH survivors require ≥3 antihypertensives. However, not all would suit this approach, particularly those with cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA), where elevated admission BP may be due to acute hypertensive response rather than underlying hypertension. In addition, overtreatment and excessive BP lowering would cause more side effects and have been associated with increased mortality in older patients. Hence, to facilitate individualized treatment, we aimed to develop a score (TRICH) to predict the need for ≥3 antihypertensives at 3 months after ICH. Methods We developed the score using data from the University of Hong Kong prospective ICH registry (2011-2022) and validated it in 3 hospitals (2020-2022) locally. Consecutive patients with spontaneous ICH who survived >90 days and had follow-up BP 3 months after ICH were included. Predictors for needing ≥3 antihypertensive medications at 3 months were identified using multivariate logistic regression, and the score was created using the β-coefficients. Results The TRICH score was developed from 462 patients (mean age 66.6 ± 14.3 years, 60% male) and validated in 203 patients (mean age 66.3 ± 14.6 years, 62% male). The 9-point score (age younger than 60 years = 1, male = 1, ischemic heart disease = 1, admission estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 = 2, admission systolic BP 190-230 mm Hg = 2 while >230 mm Hg = 4) has a c-statistic (95% CI) of 0.79 (0.75-0.83) in the development cohort and 0.76 (0.69-0.82) in validation. A dichotomized score (≥3 points) predicted the need for ≥3 antihypertensives with 0.73 (95% CI 0.67-0.80) sensitivity and 0.76 (95% CI 0.70-0.81) specificity. The score performed better in patients with untreated/uncontrolled hypertension before ICH than in controlled patients (c-statistic [95% CI] 0.81 [0.77-0.86] vs 0.74 [0.69-0.80], p = 0.037) but showed no difference between patients with CAA and non-CAA patients. Discussion The TRICH score identifies patients with ICH who need ≥3 antihypertensive medications 3 months after ICH with good discrimination ability. It may guide upfront triple antihypertensive prescription, but further research is warranted, particularly in non-Han Chinese populations.</p>