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Article: Sea level rise risks, adaptation strategies, and real estate prices in Singapore

TitleSea level rise risks, adaptation strategies, and real estate prices in Singapore
Authors
KeywordsClimate change
Discount rate
Government announcement
Property prices
Sea level rise
Issue Date1-Jan-2025
PublisherElsevier
Citation
Journal of Public Economics, 2025, v. 241 How to Cite?
Abstract

This study exploits the Singapore Prime Minister’s announcement of the areas affected by sea level rise (SLR) within the country and its adaptation strategies valued at 100 billion Singapore dollars. Utilizing transaction-level data with exact locations, we find that public housing prices dropped by 7.2% in SLR areas four years after the announcement relative to non-SLR areas. In SLR areas with adaptation, the price depreciation was mitigated to 0.6%. In the private housing sector, freehold properties benefit more from adaptation strategies than leasehold properties. We calibrate the long-term discount rates before and after the shock at 2.27% and 2.14% in SLR areas and 2.35% and 2.12% in SLR areas with adaptation, respectively. (JEL H43, R21, R28, R38, R51, Q54)


Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/353342
ISSN
2023 Impact Factor: 4.8
2023 SCImago Journal Rankings: 5.144
ISI Accession Number ID

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorAgarwal, Sumit-
dc.contributor.authorQin, Yu-
dc.contributor.authorSing, Tien Foo-
dc.contributor.authorZhan, Changwei-
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-17T00:35:42Z-
dc.date.available2025-01-17T00:35:42Z-
dc.date.issued2025-01-01-
dc.identifier.citationJournal of Public Economics, 2025, v. 241-
dc.identifier.issn0047-2727-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/353342-
dc.description.abstract<p>This study exploits the Singapore Prime Minister’s announcement of the areas affected by sea level rise (SLR) within the country and its adaptation strategies valued at 100 billion Singapore dollars. Utilizing transaction-level data with exact locations, we find that public housing prices dropped by 7.2% in SLR areas four years after the announcement relative to non-SLR areas. In SLR areas with adaptation, the price depreciation was mitigated to 0.6%. In the private housing sector, freehold properties benefit more from adaptation strategies than leasehold properties. We calibrate the long-term discount rates before and after the shock at 2.27% and 2.14% in SLR areas and 2.35% and 2.12% in SLR areas with adaptation, respectively. (<em>JEL</em> H43, R21, R28, R38, R51, Q54)<br></p>-
dc.languageeng-
dc.publisherElsevier-
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Public Economics-
dc.rightsThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.-
dc.subjectClimate change-
dc.subjectDiscount rate-
dc.subjectGovernment announcement-
dc.subjectProperty prices-
dc.subjectSea level rise-
dc.titleSea level rise risks, adaptation strategies, and real estate prices in Singapore-
dc.typeArticle-
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jpubeco.2024.105290-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-85213040532-
dc.identifier.volume241-
dc.identifier.eissn1879-2316-
dc.identifier.isiWOS:001402558900001-
dc.identifier.issnl0047-2727-

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