Indoor relative humidity shapes influenza seasonality in temperate and subtropical climates in China

Abstract

Objectives: The aim of this study was to explore whether indoor or outdoor relative humidity (RH) modulates the influenza epidemic transmission in temperate and subtropical climates. Methods: In this study, the daily temperature and RH in 1558 households from March 2017 to January 2019 in five cities across both temperate and subtropical regions in China were collected. City-level outdoor temperature and RH from 2013 to 2019 were collected from the weather stations. We first estimated the effective reproduction number (Rt) of influenza and then used time-series analyses to explore the relationship between indoor/outdoor RH/absolute humidity and the Rt of influenza. Furthermore, we expanded the measured 1-year indoor temperature and the RH data into 5 years and used the same method to examine the relationship between indoor/outdoor RH and the Rt of influenza. Results: Indoor RH displayed a seasonal pattern, with highs during the summer months and lows during the winter months, whereas outdoor RH fluctuated with no consistent pattern in subtropical regions. The Rt of influenza followed a U-shaped relationship with indoor RH in both temperate and subtropical regions, whereas a U-shaped relationship was not observed between outdoor RH and Rt. In addition, indoor RH may be a better indicator for Rt of influenza than indoor absolute humidity. Conclusion: The findings indicated that indoor RH may be the driver of influenza seasonality in both temperate and subtropical locations in China.