Machine learning-based corrosion rate prediction of steel embedded in soil

Abstract

Predicting the corrosion rate for soil-buried steel is significant for assessing the service-life performance of structures in soil environments. However, due to the large amount of variables involved, existing corrosion prediction models have limited accuracy for complex soil environment. The present study employs three machine learning (ML) algorithms, i.e., random forest, support vector regression, and multilayer perception, to predict the corrosion current density of soil-buried steel. Steel specimens were embedded in soil samples collected from different regions of the Wisconsin state. Variables including exposure time, moisture content, pH, electrical resistivity, chloride, sulfate content, and mean total organic carbon were measured through laboratory tests and were used as input variables for the model. The current density of steel was measured through polarization technique, and was employed as the output of the model. Of the various ML algorithms, the random forest (RF) model demonstrates the highest predictability (with an RMSE value of 0.01095 A/m2 and an R2 value of 0.987). In light of the feature selection method, the electrical resistivity is identified as the most significant feature. The combination of three features (resistivity, exposure time, and mean total organic carbon) is the optimal scenario for predicting the corrosion current density of soil-buried steel.