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Article: Signaling safety

TitleSignaling safety
Authors
KeywordsCash-flow volatility
Dividends
Payout policy
Signaling model
Issue Date2021
Citation
Journal of Financial Economics, 2021, v. 139, n. 2, p. 405-427 How to Cite?
AbstractContrary to signaling models’ central predictions, changes in the level of cash flows do not empirically follow changes in dividends. We use the Campbell (1991) decomposition to construct cash-flow and discount-rate news from returns and find the following: (1) both dividend changes and repurchase announcements signal changes in cash-flow volatility (in opposite directions); (2) larger cash-flow volatility changes come with larger announcement returns; and (3) neither discount-rate news, nor the level of cash-flow news, nor total stock return volatility change following dividend changes. We conclude cash-flow news—and not discount-rate news—drive payout policy, and payout policy conveys information about future cash-flow volatility.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/326237
ISSN
2023 Impact Factor: 10.4
2023 SCImago Journal Rankings: 13.655
ISI Accession Number ID

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorMichaely, Roni-
dc.contributor.authorRossi, Stefano-
dc.contributor.authorWeber, Michael-
dc.date.accessioned2023-03-09T09:59:07Z-
dc.date.available2023-03-09T09:59:07Z-
dc.date.issued2021-
dc.identifier.citationJournal of Financial Economics, 2021, v. 139, n. 2, p. 405-427-
dc.identifier.issn0304-405X-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/326237-
dc.description.abstractContrary to signaling models’ central predictions, changes in the level of cash flows do not empirically follow changes in dividends. We use the Campbell (1991) decomposition to construct cash-flow and discount-rate news from returns and find the following: (1) both dividend changes and repurchase announcements signal changes in cash-flow volatility (in opposite directions); (2) larger cash-flow volatility changes come with larger announcement returns; and (3) neither discount-rate news, nor the level of cash-flow news, nor total stock return volatility change following dividend changes. We conclude cash-flow news—and not discount-rate news—drive payout policy, and payout policy conveys information about future cash-flow volatility.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Financial Economics-
dc.subjectCash-flow volatility-
dc.subjectDividends-
dc.subjectPayout policy-
dc.subjectSignaling model-
dc.titleSignaling safety-
dc.typeArticle-
dc.description.naturelink_to_subscribed_fulltext-
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.013-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-85090058076-
dc.identifier.volume139-
dc.identifier.issue2-
dc.identifier.spage405-
dc.identifier.epage427-
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000608118900004-

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