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Article: Bayesian Solutions for the Factor Zoo: We Just Ran Two Quadrillion Models

TitleBayesian Solutions for the Factor Zoo: We Just Ran Two Quadrillion Models
Authors
Issue Date2022
Citation
The Journal of Finance, 2022, Forthcoming How to Cite?
AbstractWe propose a novel framework for analyzing linear asset pricing models: simple, robust, and applicable to high-dimensional problems. For a (potentially misspecified) stand-alone model, it provides reliable price of risk estimates for both tradable and non-tradable factors, and detects those weakly identified. For competing factors and (possibly non-nested) models, the method automatically selects the best specification – if a dominant one exists – or provides a Bayesian model averaging, BMA-SDF, if there is no clear winner. We analyze 2.25 quadrillion models generated by a large set of factors and find that the BMA-SDF outperforms existing models in- and out-of-sample.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/323376
ISI Accession Number ID

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorBryzgalova, S-
dc.contributor.authorHuang, J-
dc.contributor.authorJulliardC, C-
dc.date.accessioned2022-12-16T10:04:15Z-
dc.date.available2022-12-16T10:04:15Z-
dc.date.issued2022-
dc.identifier.citationThe Journal of Finance, 2022, Forthcoming-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/323376-
dc.description.abstractWe propose a novel framework for analyzing linear asset pricing models: simple, robust, and applicable to high-dimensional problems. For a (potentially misspecified) stand-alone model, it provides reliable price of risk estimates for both tradable and non-tradable factors, and detects those weakly identified. For competing factors and (possibly non-nested) models, the method automatically selects the best specification – if a dominant one exists – or provides a Bayesian model averaging, BMA-SDF, if there is no clear winner. We analyze 2.25 quadrillion models generated by a large set of factors and find that the BMA-SDF outperforms existing models in- and out-of-sample.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.relation.ispartofThe Journal of Finance-
dc.titleBayesian Solutions for the Factor Zoo: We Just Ran Two Quadrillion Models-
dc.typeArticle-
dc.identifier.emailHuang, J: huangjt@hku.hk-
dc.identifier.authorityHuang, J=rp02975-
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/jofi.13197-
dc.identifier.hkuros343066-
dc.identifier.volumeForthcoming-
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000905857400001-

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