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Article: Aspirations and realities of polycentric development: Insights from multi-source data into the emerging urban form of Shanghai

TitleAspirations and realities of polycentric development: Insights from multi-source data into the emerging urban form of Shanghai
Authors
KeywordsPolycentric development
online data
land use–transportation interaction models
property market
Issue Date2019
Citation
Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science, 2019, v. 46, n. 7, p. 1264-1280 How to Cite?
AbstractThe polycentric idea has recently been reinvigorated in many rapidly urbanising countries, but the paucity of reliable and disaggregated data has so far made it almost impossible to understand the policy feedback there. This paper capitalises on official statistical data, novel online data, and proprietary digital data, and builds a dynamic spatial equilibrium model for understanding the past lessons and future options for developing new urban sub-centres. Following the post-2010 situation of a negative sign of monocentric bid-rent curve and physical polycentric growth, we assemble, corroborate, and validate multi-source data sets within the model to explore possible polycentric development scenarios (2010–2035). The data analysis and model tests show that over time, the balance between jobs and housing provision appears to have been lost, and it is insufficient job opportunities in the planned sub-centres rather than any lack of housing development that has led to the loss of this balance. Localised circumstances have also played a role in this overarching pattern of evolution. The insights are cogent for current decision making regarding polycentric planning and growth, especially in developing countries.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/301843
ISSN
2020 Impact Factor: 3.619
2020 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.889

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorYang, Tianren-
dc.contributor.authorJin, Ying-
dc.contributor.authorYan, Longxu-
dc.contributor.authorPei, Pei-
dc.date.accessioned2021-08-19T02:20:51Z-
dc.date.available2021-08-19T02:20:51Z-
dc.date.issued2019-
dc.identifier.citationEnvironment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science, 2019, v. 46, n. 7, p. 1264-1280-
dc.identifier.issn2399-8083-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/301843-
dc.description.abstractThe polycentric idea has recently been reinvigorated in many rapidly urbanising countries, but the paucity of reliable and disaggregated data has so far made it almost impossible to understand the policy feedback there. This paper capitalises on official statistical data, novel online data, and proprietary digital data, and builds a dynamic spatial equilibrium model for understanding the past lessons and future options for developing new urban sub-centres. Following the post-2010 situation of a negative sign of monocentric bid-rent curve and physical polycentric growth, we assemble, corroborate, and validate multi-source data sets within the model to explore possible polycentric development scenarios (2010–2035). The data analysis and model tests show that over time, the balance between jobs and housing provision appears to have been lost, and it is insufficient job opportunities in the planned sub-centres rather than any lack of housing development that has led to the loss of this balance. Localised circumstances have also played a role in this overarching pattern of evolution. The insights are cogent for current decision making regarding polycentric planning and growth, especially in developing countries.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.relation.ispartofEnvironment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science-
dc.subjectPolycentric development-
dc.subjectonline data-
dc.subjectland use–transportation interaction models-
dc.subjectproperty market-
dc.titleAspirations and realities of polycentric development: Insights from multi-source data into the emerging urban form of Shanghai-
dc.typeArticle-
dc.description.naturelink_to_subscribed_fulltext-
dc.identifier.doi10.1177/2399808319864972-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-85070751852-
dc.identifier.volume46-
dc.identifier.issue7-
dc.identifier.spage1264-
dc.identifier.epage1280-
dc.identifier.eissn2399-8091-

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