File Download
  Links for fulltext
     (May Require Subscription)
Supplementary

Article: Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests

TitleLong-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests
Authors
Sullivan, MLewis, SAffum-Baffoe, KCastilho, CCosta, FSanchez, AEwango, CHubau, WMarimon, BMonteagudo-Mendoza, AQie, LBurban, BCamargo, JCastro, WCéron, CRibeiro, SMoscoso, VChave, JChezeaux, EClark, CKalamandeen, MSilveira, JSouza, FCollins, MComiskey, JValverde, FMedina, MCosta, LDančák, MDargie, GDavies, SCardozo, NSimo-Droissart, MDjuikouo, MHaulleville, TMedeiros, MPasquel, JDerroire, GFiore, ADoucet, JDourdain, ADroissart, VDuque, LSimon, MEkoungoulou, RSonké, BElias, FErwin, TEsquivel-Muelbert, AFauset, SFerreira, JLlampazo, GFoli, GFord, ESingh, JGilpin, AHall, MKearsley, EHamer, JHamilton, KHarris, AHart, DHédl, THerault, BUmetsu, RShareva, YKho, LKilleen, TKitayama, KKlitgaard, BKoch, ALabrière, NLaurance, WLaurance, SMartinez, RLeal, SStahl, CLevesley, MLima, ALisingo, ALopes, JLopez-Gonzalez, ALovejoy, GLovett, TLowe, JMagnusson, RBaker, TStropp, JMalumbres-Olarte, WManzatto, JMarimon, AMarshall, BMarthews, TReis, SMaycock, CMelgaço, KMendoza, CMetali, FSukri, RBrienen, RMihindou, VMilliken, WMitchard, EMorandi, PMossman, HNagy, LNascimento, HNeill, DNilus, RSunderland, TVargas, RFeldpausch, TPalacios, PCamacho, WPeacock, NPendry, CMora, CPickavance, GPipoly, JPitman, NAiba, SPlayfair, MPoorter, LGalbraith, DPoulsen, JPoulsen, APreziosi, RPrieto, APrimack, RRamírez-Angulo, HReitsma, JHerrera, RRéjou-Méchain, MCorrea, ZSousa, TGloor, MBayona, LRoopsind, ARudas, ARutishauser, ESalim, KSalomão, RSvátek, MSchietti, JSheil, DSilva, REspejo, JMalhi, YValeria, CSwaine, MSwamy, VTaedoumg, HTalbot, JTaplin, JTaylor, DSteege, HTerborgh, JThomas, RHiguchi, NAlexiades, MThomas, STorres-Lezama, AUmunay, PGamarra, LHeijden, GHout, PMeer, PNieuwstadt, MVerbeeck, HHladik, AVernimmen, RAlmeida, EVicentini, AVieira, ITorre, EVleminckx, JVos, VWang, OWhite, LWillcock, SCoronado, EWoods, JWortel, VOliveira, EYoung, KZagt, RZemagho, LZuidema, PZwerts, JPhillips, ODávila, EHuamantupa-Chuquimaco, ILoayza, PAndrade, AVieira, SAragão, LAraujo-Murakami, AArets, EArroyo, LAshton, PC, GBaccaro, FHuasco, WBanin, LBaraloto, CCamargo, PBarlow, JBarroso, JBastin, JBatterman, SBeeckman, HBegne, SBennett, AJeffery, KBerenguer, EBerry, NBlanc, LBoeckx, PBogaert, PBonal, DBongers, FBradford, MBrearley, FBrncic, TJimenez-Rojas, EBrown, F
Keywordsaboveground biomass
climate change
global climate
long-term change
sensitivity analysis
Issue Date2020
PublisherAmerican Association for the Advancement of Science. The Journal's web site is located at http://sciencemag.org
Citation
Science, 2020, v. 368 n. 6493, p. 869-874 How to Cite?
AbstractThe sensitivity of tropical forest carbon to climate is a key uncertainty in predicting global climate change. Although short-term drying and warming are known to affect forests, it is unknown if such effects translate into long-term responses. Here, we analyze 590 permanent plots measured across the tropics to derive the equilibrium climate controls on forest carbon. Maximum temperature is the most important predictor of aboveground biomass (−9.1 megagrams of carbon per hectare per degree Celsius), primarily by reducing woody productivity, and has a greater impact per °C in the hottest forests (>32.2°C). Our results nevertheless reveal greater thermal resilience than observations of short-term variation imply. To realize the long-term climate adaptation potential of tropical forests requires both protecting them and stabilizing Earth’s climate.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/286680
ISSN
2019 Impact Factor: 41.845
2015 SCImago Journal Rankings: 13.217

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorSullivan, M-
dc.contributor.authorLewis, S-
dc.contributor.authorAffum-Baffoe, K-
dc.contributor.authorCastilho, C-
dc.contributor.authorCosta, F-
dc.contributor.authorSanchez, A-
dc.contributor.authorEwango, C-
dc.contributor.authorHubau, W-
dc.contributor.authorMarimon, B-
dc.contributor.authorMonteagudo-Mendoza, A-
dc.contributor.authorQie, L-
dc.contributor.authorBurban, B-
dc.contributor.authorCamargo, J-
dc.contributor.authorCastro, W-
dc.contributor.authorCéron, C-
dc.contributor.authorRibeiro, S-
dc.contributor.authorMoscoso, V-
dc.contributor.authorChave, J-
dc.contributor.authorChezeaux, E-
dc.contributor.authorClark, C-
dc.contributor.authorKalamandeen, M-
dc.contributor.authorSilveira, J-
dc.contributor.authorSouza, F-
dc.contributor.authorCollins, M-
dc.contributor.authorComiskey, J-
dc.contributor.authorValverde, F-
dc.contributor.authorMedina, M-
dc.contributor.authorCosta, L-
dc.contributor.authorDančák, M-
dc.contributor.authorDargie, G-
dc.contributor.authorDavies, S-
dc.contributor.authorCardozo, N-
dc.contributor.authorSimo-Droissart, M-
dc.contributor.authorDjuikouo, M-
dc.contributor.authorHaulleville, T-
dc.contributor.authorMedeiros, M-
dc.contributor.authorPasquel, J-
dc.contributor.authorDerroire, G-
dc.contributor.authorFiore, A-
dc.contributor.authorDoucet, J-
dc.contributor.authorDourdain, A-
dc.contributor.authorDroissart, V-
dc.contributor.authorDuque, L-
dc.contributor.authorSimon, M-
dc.contributor.authorEkoungoulou, R-
dc.contributor.authorSonké, B-
dc.contributor.authorElias, F-
dc.contributor.authorErwin, T-
dc.contributor.authorEsquivel-Muelbert, A-
dc.contributor.authorFauset, S-
dc.contributor.authorFerreira, J-
dc.contributor.authorLlampazo, G-
dc.contributor.authorFoli, G-
dc.contributor.authorFord, E-
dc.contributor.authorSingh, J-
dc.contributor.authorGilpin, A-
dc.contributor.authorHall, M-
dc.contributor.authorKearsley, E-
dc.contributor.authorHamer, J-
dc.contributor.authorHamilton, K-
dc.contributor.authorHarris, A-
dc.contributor.authorHart, D-
dc.contributor.authorHédl, T-
dc.contributor.authorHerault, B-
dc.contributor.authorUmetsu, R-
dc.contributor.authorShareva, Y-
dc.contributor.authorKho, L-
dc.contributor.authorKilleen, T-
dc.contributor.authorKitayama, K-
dc.contributor.authorKlitgaard, B-
dc.contributor.authorKoch, A-
dc.contributor.authorLabrière, N-
dc.contributor.authorLaurance, W-
dc.contributor.authorLaurance, S-
dc.contributor.authorMartinez, R-
dc.contributor.authorLeal, S-
dc.contributor.authorStahl, C-
dc.contributor.authorLevesley, M-
dc.contributor.authorLima, A-
dc.contributor.authorLisingo, A-
dc.contributor.authorLopes, J-
dc.contributor.authorLopez-Gonzalez, A-
dc.contributor.authorLovejoy, G-
dc.contributor.authorLovett, T-
dc.contributor.authorLowe, J-
dc.contributor.authorMagnusson, R-
dc.contributor.authorBaker, T-
dc.contributor.authorStropp, J-
dc.contributor.authorMalumbres-Olarte, W-
dc.contributor.authorManzatto, J-
dc.contributor.authorMarimon, A-
dc.contributor.authorMarshall, B-
dc.contributor.authorMarthews, T-
dc.contributor.authorReis, S-
dc.contributor.authorMaycock, C-
dc.contributor.authorMelgaço, K-
dc.contributor.authorMendoza, C-
dc.contributor.authorMetali, F-
dc.contributor.authorSukri, R-
dc.contributor.authorBrienen, R-
dc.contributor.authorMihindou, V-
dc.contributor.authorMilliken, W-
dc.contributor.authorMitchard, E-
dc.contributor.authorMorandi, P-
dc.contributor.authorMossman, H-
dc.contributor.authorNagy, L-
dc.contributor.authorNascimento, H-
dc.contributor.authorNeill, D-
dc.contributor.authorNilus, R-
dc.contributor.authorSunderland, T-
dc.contributor.authorVargas, R-
dc.contributor.authorFeldpausch, T-
dc.contributor.authorPalacios, P-
dc.contributor.authorCamacho, W-
dc.contributor.authorPeacock, N-
dc.contributor.authorPendry, C-
dc.contributor.authorMora, C-
dc.contributor.authorPickavance, G-
dc.contributor.authorPipoly, J-
dc.contributor.authorPitman, N-
dc.contributor.authorAiba, S-
dc.contributor.authorPlayfair, M-
dc.contributor.authorPoorter, L-
dc.contributor.authorGalbraith, D-
dc.contributor.authorPoulsen, J-
dc.contributor.authorPoulsen, A-
dc.contributor.authorPreziosi, R-
dc.contributor.authorPrieto, A-
dc.contributor.authorPrimack, R-
dc.contributor.authorRamírez-Angulo, H-
dc.contributor.authorReitsma, J-
dc.contributor.authorHerrera, R-
dc.contributor.authorRéjou-Méchain, M-
dc.contributor.authorCorrea, Z-
dc.contributor.authorSousa, T-
dc.contributor.authorGloor, M-
dc.contributor.authorBayona, L-
dc.contributor.authorRoopsind, A-
dc.contributor.authorRudas, A-
dc.contributor.authorRutishauser, E-
dc.contributor.authorSalim, K-
dc.contributor.authorSalomão, R-
dc.contributor.authorSvátek, M-
dc.contributor.authorSchietti, J-
dc.contributor.authorSheil, D-
dc.contributor.authorSilva, R-
dc.contributor.authorEspejo, J-
dc.contributor.authorMalhi, Y-
dc.contributor.authorValeria, C-
dc.contributor.authorSwaine, M-
dc.contributor.authorSwamy, V-
dc.contributor.authorTaedoumg, H-
dc.contributor.authorTalbot, J-
dc.contributor.authorTaplin, J-
dc.contributor.authorTaylor, D-
dc.contributor.authorSteege, H-
dc.contributor.authorTerborgh, J-
dc.contributor.authorThomas, R-
dc.contributor.authorHiguchi, N-
dc.contributor.authorAlexiades, M-
dc.contributor.authorThomas, S-
dc.contributor.authorTorres-Lezama, A-
dc.contributor.authorUmunay, P-
dc.contributor.authorGamarra, L-
dc.contributor.authorHeijden, G-
dc.contributor.authorHout, P-
dc.contributor.authorMeer, P-
dc.contributor.authorNieuwstadt, M-
dc.contributor.authorVerbeeck, H-
dc.contributor.authorHladik, A-
dc.contributor.authorVernimmen, R-
dc.contributor.authorAlmeida, E-
dc.contributor.authorVicentini, A-
dc.contributor.authorVieira, I-
dc.contributor.authorTorre, E-
dc.contributor.authorVleminckx, J-
dc.contributor.authorVos, V-
dc.contributor.authorWang, O-
dc.contributor.authorWhite, L-
dc.contributor.authorWillcock, S-
dc.contributor.authorCoronado, E-
dc.contributor.authorWoods, J-
dc.contributor.authorWortel, V-
dc.contributor.authorOliveira, E-
dc.contributor.authorYoung, K-
dc.contributor.authorZagt, R-
dc.contributor.authorZemagho, L-
dc.contributor.authorZuidema, P-
dc.contributor.authorZwerts, J-
dc.contributor.authorPhillips, O-
dc.contributor.authorDávila, E-
dc.contributor.authorHuamantupa-Chuquimaco, I-
dc.contributor.authorLoayza, P-
dc.contributor.authorAndrade, A-
dc.contributor.authorVieira, S-
dc.contributor.authorAragão, L-
dc.contributor.authorAraujo-Murakami, A-
dc.contributor.authorArets, E-
dc.contributor.authorArroyo, L-
dc.contributor.authorAshton, P-
dc.contributor.authorC, G-
dc.contributor.authorBaccaro, F-
dc.contributor.authorHuasco, W-
dc.contributor.authorBanin, L-
dc.contributor.authorBaraloto, C-
dc.contributor.authorCamargo, P-
dc.contributor.authorBarlow, J-
dc.contributor.authorBarroso, J-
dc.contributor.authorBastin, J-
dc.contributor.authorBatterman, S-
dc.contributor.authorBeeckman, H-
dc.contributor.authorBegne, S-
dc.contributor.authorBennett, A-
dc.contributor.authorJeffery, K-
dc.contributor.authorBerenguer, E-
dc.contributor.authorBerry, N-
dc.contributor.authorBlanc, L-
dc.contributor.authorBoeckx, P-
dc.contributor.authorBogaert, P-
dc.contributor.authorBonal, D-
dc.contributor.authorBongers, F-
dc.contributor.authorBradford, M-
dc.contributor.authorBrearley, F-
dc.contributor.authorBrncic, T-
dc.contributor.authorJimenez-Rojas, E-
dc.contributor.authorBrown, F-
dc.date.accessioned2020-09-04T13:28:56Z-
dc.date.available2020-09-04T13:28:56Z-
dc.date.issued2020-
dc.identifier.citationScience, 2020, v. 368 n. 6493, p. 869-874-
dc.identifier.issn0036-8075-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/286680-
dc.description.abstractThe sensitivity of tropical forest carbon to climate is a key uncertainty in predicting global climate change. Although short-term drying and warming are known to affect forests, it is unknown if such effects translate into long-term responses. Here, we analyze 590 permanent plots measured across the tropics to derive the equilibrium climate controls on forest carbon. Maximum temperature is the most important predictor of aboveground biomass (−9.1 megagrams of carbon per hectare per degree Celsius), primarily by reducing woody productivity, and has a greater impact per °C in the hottest forests (>32.2°C). Our results nevertheless reveal greater thermal resilience than observations of short-term variation imply. To realize the long-term climate adaptation potential of tropical forests requires both protecting them and stabilizing Earth’s climate.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.publisherAmerican Association for the Advancement of Science. The Journal's web site is located at http://sciencemag.org-
dc.relation.ispartofScience-
dc.rightsScience. Copyright © American Association for the Advancement of Science.-
dc.rightsThis is the author’s version of the work. It is posted here by permission of the AAAS for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Science on v. 368, Issue 6493, 22 May 2020, DOI: 10.1126/science.aaw7578-
dc.subjectaboveground biomass-
dc.subjectclimate change-
dc.subjectglobal climate-
dc.subjectlong-term change-
dc.subjectsensitivity analysis-
dc.titleLong-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests-
dc.typeArticle-
dc.identifier.emailKoch, A: akoch@hku.hk-
dc.description.naturepostprint-
dc.identifier.doi10.1126/science.aaw7578-
dc.identifier.pmid32439789-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-85085155504-
dc.identifier.hkuros313933-
dc.identifier.volume368-
dc.identifier.issue6493-
dc.identifier.spage869-
dc.identifier.epage874-
dc.publisher.placeUnited States-

Export via OAI-PMH Interface in XML Formats


OR


Export to Other Non-XML Formats