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Article: A note on the estimation of the initial number of susceptible individuals in the general epidemic model

TitleA note on the estimation of the initial number of susceptible individuals in the general epidemic model
Authors
Huggins, RMYip, PSFLau, EHY
KeywordsEpidemic
Population size estimation
Susceptibles
Issue Date2004
PublisherElsevier BV. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.elsevier.com/locate/stapro
Citation
Statistics & Probability Letters, 2004, v. 67, p. 321-330 How to Cite?
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2002.02.001
AbstractTraditional inference for epidemic models depends on knowledge of the initial number of susceptible individuals. However, this may be difficult to obtain in practice. In this short note we show that it is possible to use data from a major epidemic to estimate the number of individuals initially susceptible to a disease and an approximate asymptotic variance is derived. The results are confirmed in simulations of major epidemics. An application to a data set on smallpox is given. © 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/221535
ISSN
0167-7152
2021 Impact Factor: 0.718
2020 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.576
ISI Accession Number ID
WOS:000221191500006
References
References in Scopus

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorHuggins, RM-
dc.contributor.authorYip, PSF-
dc.contributor.authorLau, EHY-
dc.date.accessioned2015-11-30T01:46:28Z-
dc.date.available2015-11-30T01:46:28Z-
dc.date.issued2004-
dc.identifier.citationStatistics & Probability Letters, 2004, v. 67, p. 321-330-
dc.identifier.issn0167-7152-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/221535-
dc.description.abstractTraditional inference for epidemic models depends on knowledge of the initial number of susceptible individuals. However, this may be difficult to obtain in practice. In this short note we show that it is possible to use data from a major epidemic to estimate the number of individuals initially susceptible to a disease and an approximate asymptotic variance is derived. The results are confirmed in simulations of major epidemics. An application to a data set on smallpox is given. © 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.publisherElsevier BV. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.elsevier.com/locate/stapro-
dc.relation.ispartofStatistics & Probability Letters-
dc.rights© <year>. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/-
dc.subjectEpidemic-
dc.subjectPopulation size estimation-
dc.subjectSusceptibles-
dc.titleA note on the estimation of the initial number of susceptible individuals in the general epidemic model-
dc.typeArticle-
dc.identifier.emailYip, PSF: sfpyip@hku.hk-
dc.identifier.authorityYip, PSF=rp00596-
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.spl.2002.02.001-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-1842711685-
dc.identifier.hkuros91702-
dc.relation.referenceshttp://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-1842711685&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpage-
dc.identifier.volume67-
dc.identifier.spage321-
dc.identifier.epage330-
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000221191500006-
dc.publisher.placeNetherlands-
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridHuggins, RM=7102879186-
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridYip, PSF=7102503720-
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridLau, EHY=7103086074-
dc.identifier.issnl0167-7152-

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