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Article: An epidemiological analysis of the foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Miyazaki, Japan, 2010

TitleAn epidemiological analysis of the foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Miyazaki, Japan, 2010
Authors
KeywordsControl
Epidemic
Foot-And-Mouth Disease
Japan
Model
Population Dynamics
Issue Date2010
Citation
Transboundary And Emerging Diseases, 2010, v. 57 n. 6, p. 396-403 How to Cite?
AbstractAn epidemic of foot-and-mouth disease occurred in Miyazaki, Japan, beginning in late March 2010. Here, we document the descriptive epidemiological features and investigate the between-farm transmission dynamics. As of 10 July 2010, a total of 292 infected premises have been confirmed with a cumulative incidence for cattle and pig herds of 8.5% and 36.4%, respectively, for the whole of Miyazaki prefecture. Pig herds were more likely to be infected than cattle herds (odds ratio = 4.3 [95% confidence interval (CI): 3.2, 5.7]). Modelling analysis suggested that the relative susceptibility of a cattle herd is 4.2 times greater than a typical pig herd (95% CI: 3.9, 4.5), while the relative infectiousness of a pig herd is estimated to be 8.0 times higher than a cattle herd (95% CI: 5.0, 13.6). The epidemic peak occurred around mid-May, after which the incidence started to decline and the effective reproduction numbers from late May were mostly less than unity, although a vaccination programme in late May could have masked symptoms in infected animals. The infected premises were geographically confined to limited areas in Miyazaki, but sporadic long-distance transmissions were seen within the prefecture. Given that multiple outbreaks in Far East Asian countries have occurred since early 2010, continued monitoring and surveillance is deemed essential. © 2010 Blackwell Verlag GmbH.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/134188
ISSN
2023 Impact Factor: 3.5
2023 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.921
ISI Accession Number ID
Funding AgencyGrant Number
Japan Science and Technology Agency
Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
Funding Information:

HN is supported by the Japan Science and Technology Agency PRESTO program. RO is financially supported by Research Fellowship of Japan Society for the Promotion of Science.

References

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorNishiura, Hen_HK
dc.contributor.authorOmori, Ren_HK
dc.date.accessioned2011-06-13T07:20:44Z-
dc.date.available2011-06-13T07:20:44Z-
dc.date.issued2010en_HK
dc.identifier.citationTransboundary And Emerging Diseases, 2010, v. 57 n. 6, p. 396-403en_HK
dc.identifier.issn1865-1674en_HK
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/134188-
dc.description.abstractAn epidemic of foot-and-mouth disease occurred in Miyazaki, Japan, beginning in late March 2010. Here, we document the descriptive epidemiological features and investigate the between-farm transmission dynamics. As of 10 July 2010, a total of 292 infected premises have been confirmed with a cumulative incidence for cattle and pig herds of 8.5% and 36.4%, respectively, for the whole of Miyazaki prefecture. Pig herds were more likely to be infected than cattle herds (odds ratio = 4.3 [95% confidence interval (CI): 3.2, 5.7]). Modelling analysis suggested that the relative susceptibility of a cattle herd is 4.2 times greater than a typical pig herd (95% CI: 3.9, 4.5), while the relative infectiousness of a pig herd is estimated to be 8.0 times higher than a cattle herd (95% CI: 5.0, 13.6). The epidemic peak occurred around mid-May, after which the incidence started to decline and the effective reproduction numbers from late May were mostly less than unity, although a vaccination programme in late May could have masked symptoms in infected animals. The infected premises were geographically confined to limited areas in Miyazaki, but sporadic long-distance transmissions were seen within the prefecture. Given that multiple outbreaks in Far East Asian countries have occurred since early 2010, continued monitoring and surveillance is deemed essential. © 2010 Blackwell Verlag GmbH.en_HK
dc.languageengen_US
dc.relation.ispartofTransboundary and Emerging Diseasesen_HK
dc.subjectControlen_US
dc.subjectEpidemicen_US
dc.subjectFoot-And-Mouth Diseaseen_US
dc.subjectJapanen_US
dc.subjectModelen_US
dc.subjectPopulation Dynamicsen_US
dc.subject.meshAgricultureen_HK
dc.subject.meshAnimalsen_HK
dc.subject.meshCattleen_HK
dc.subject.meshCattle Diseases - epidemiology - prevention & control - virologyen_HK
dc.subject.meshCommunicable Disease Controlen_HK
dc.subject.meshDisease Outbreaks - veterinaryen_HK
dc.subject.meshFoot-and-Mouth Disease - epidemiology - prevention & controlen_HK
dc.subject.meshJapan - epidemiologyen_HK
dc.subject.meshSurvival Analysisen_HK
dc.subject.meshSwineen_HK
dc.subject.meshSwine Diseases - epidemiology - prevention & control - virologyen_HK
dc.subject.meshViral Vaccinesen_HK
dc.titleAn epidemiological analysis of the foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Miyazaki, Japan, 2010en_HK
dc.typeArticleen_HK
dc.identifier.emailNishiura, H:nishiura@hku.hken_HK
dc.identifier.authorityNishiura, H=rp01488en_HK
dc.description.naturelink_to_subscribed_fulltexten_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/j.1865-1682.2010.01162.xen_HK
dc.identifier.pmid20723164-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-78449240938en_HK
dc.relation.referenceshttp://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-78449240938&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpageen_HK
dc.identifier.volume57en_HK
dc.identifier.issue6en_HK
dc.identifier.spage396en_HK
dc.identifier.epage403en_HK
dc.identifier.eissn1865-1682-
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000284171300002-
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridNishiura, H=7005501836en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridOmori, R=35088528100en_HK
dc.identifier.issnl1865-1674-

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