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Article: Nowcasting epidemics of novel pathogens: lessons from COVID-19

TitleNowcasting epidemics of novel pathogens: lessons from COVID-19
Authors
Issue Date2021
PublisherNature Publishing Group. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.nature.com/nm
Citation
Nature Medicine, 2021, v. 27 n. 3, p. 388-395 How to Cite?
AbstractEpidemic nowcasting broadly refers to assessing the current state by understanding key pathogenic, epidemiologic, clinical and socio-behavioral characteristics of an ongoing outbreak. Its primary objective is to provide situational awareness and inform decisions on control responses. In the event of large-scale sustained emergencies, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, scientists need to constantly update their aims and analytics with respect to the rapidly evolving emergence of new questions, data and findings in order to synthesize real-time evidence for policy decisions. In this Perspective, we share our views on the functional aims, rationale, data requirements and challenges of nowcasting at different stages of an epidemic, drawing on the ongoing COVID-19 experience. We highlight how recent advances in the computational and laboratory sciences could be harnessed to complement traditional approaches to enhance the scope, timeliness, reliability and utility of epidemic nowcasting.
DescriptionBronze open access
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/299075
ISSN
2023 Impact Factor: 58.7
2023 SCImago Journal Rankings: 19.045
ISI Accession Number ID

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorWu, JT-
dc.contributor.authorLeung, K-
dc.contributor.authorLam, TY-
dc.contributor.authorNi, MY-
dc.contributor.authorWong, CKH-
dc.contributor.authorPeiris, JSM-
dc.contributor.authorLeung, GM-
dc.date.accessioned2021-04-28T02:25:51Z-
dc.date.available2021-04-28T02:25:51Z-
dc.date.issued2021-
dc.identifier.citationNature Medicine, 2021, v. 27 n. 3, p. 388-395-
dc.identifier.issn1078-8956-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/299075-
dc.descriptionBronze open access-
dc.description.abstractEpidemic nowcasting broadly refers to assessing the current state by understanding key pathogenic, epidemiologic, clinical and socio-behavioral characteristics of an ongoing outbreak. Its primary objective is to provide situational awareness and inform decisions on control responses. In the event of large-scale sustained emergencies, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, scientists need to constantly update their aims and analytics with respect to the rapidly evolving emergence of new questions, data and findings in order to synthesize real-time evidence for policy decisions. In this Perspective, we share our views on the functional aims, rationale, data requirements and challenges of nowcasting at different stages of an epidemic, drawing on the ongoing COVID-19 experience. We highlight how recent advances in the computational and laboratory sciences could be harnessed to complement traditional approaches to enhance the scope, timeliness, reliability and utility of epidemic nowcasting.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.publisherNature Publishing Group. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.nature.com/nm-
dc.relation.ispartofNature Medicine-
dc.titleNowcasting epidemics of novel pathogens: lessons from COVID-19-
dc.typeArticle-
dc.identifier.emailWu, JT: joewu@hku.hk-
dc.identifier.emailLeung, K: ksmleung@hku.hk-
dc.identifier.emailLam, TY: ttylam@hku.hk-
dc.identifier.emailNi, MY: nimy@hku.hk-
dc.identifier.emailWong, CKH: carlosho@hku.hk-
dc.identifier.emailPeiris, JSM: malik@hkucc.hku.hk-
dc.identifier.emailLeung, GM: gmleung@hku.hk-
dc.identifier.authorityWu, JT=rp00517-
dc.identifier.authorityLeung, K=rp02563-
dc.identifier.authorityLam, TY=rp01733-
dc.identifier.authorityNi, MY=rp01639-
dc.identifier.authorityWong, CKH=rp01931-
dc.identifier.authorityPeiris, JSM=rp00410-
dc.identifier.authorityLeung, GM=rp00460-
dc.description.naturelink_to_OA_fulltext-
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/s41591-021-01278-w-
dc.identifier.pmid33723452-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-85102706903-
dc.identifier.hkuros322225-
dc.identifier.volume27-
dc.identifier.issue3-
dc.identifier.spage388-
dc.identifier.epage395-
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000629708300016-
dc.publisher.placeUnited States-

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