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Article: The demographic window and economic dependency ratio in the Hong Kong SAR

TitleThe demographic window and economic dependency ratio in the Hong Kong SAR
Authors
KeywordsDemographic window
Economic dependency ratio
Hong kong
Labour force participation rates
Issue Date2010
PublisherRoutledge. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals/titles/17441730.asp
Citation
Asian Population Studies, 2010, v. 6 n. 2, p. 241-260 How to Cite?
AbstractHong Kong, like other countries with developed economies, is experiencing significant population ageing. The shift in the population age structure results from a combination of decreasing mortality rates and prolonged low fertility rates. This paper investigates the economic impact of changes in a population's age structure. We forecast on sex-specific labour force participation rates (LFPRs) and the economic dependency ratio (EDR) using different scenarios. Our results show that the below-unity level for the EDR-prevalent since 1996-will exceed unity in 2015 and rise steeply thereafter. By 2036, the projected EDR will reach an unprecedented high of 1.4, where every three economically-inactive persons will be supported by two economically-active persons in Hong Kong. This projection not only reflects a significant age shift towards the older end of the age spectrum, but is also driven by declining LFPRs among men. © 2010 Taylor & Francis.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/87780
ISSN
2015 Impact Factor: 0.941
2015 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.510
ISI Accession Number ID
References

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorYip, PSFen_HK
dc.contributor.authorCheung, KSLen_HK
dc.contributor.authorLaw, SCKen_HK
dc.contributor.authorChi, Ien_HK
dc.contributor.authorRobine, Jen_HK
dc.date.accessioned2010-09-06T09:34:20Z-
dc.date.available2010-09-06T09:34:20Z-
dc.date.issued2010en_HK
dc.identifier.citationAsian Population Studies, 2010, v. 6 n. 2, p. 241-260en_HK
dc.identifier.issn1744-1730en_HK
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/87780-
dc.description.abstractHong Kong, like other countries with developed economies, is experiencing significant population ageing. The shift in the population age structure results from a combination of decreasing mortality rates and prolonged low fertility rates. This paper investigates the economic impact of changes in a population's age structure. We forecast on sex-specific labour force participation rates (LFPRs) and the economic dependency ratio (EDR) using different scenarios. Our results show that the below-unity level for the EDR-prevalent since 1996-will exceed unity in 2015 and rise steeply thereafter. By 2036, the projected EDR will reach an unprecedented high of 1.4, where every three economically-inactive persons will be supported by two economically-active persons in Hong Kong. This projection not only reflects a significant age shift towards the older end of the age spectrum, but is also driven by declining LFPRs among men. © 2010 Taylor & Francis.en_HK
dc.languageengen_HK
dc.publisherRoutledge. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals/titles/17441730.aspen_HK
dc.relation.ispartofAsian Population Studiesen_HK
dc.subjectDemographic windowen_HK
dc.subjectEconomic dependency ratioen_HK
dc.subjectHong kongen_HK
dc.subjectLabour force participation ratesen_HK
dc.titleThe demographic window and economic dependency ratio in the Hong Kong SARen_HK
dc.typeArticleen_HK
dc.identifier.openurlhttp://library.hku.hk:4550/resserv?sid=HKU:IR&issn=1744-1730&volume=&spage=&epage=&date=2010&atitle=The+Demographic+Window+And+Economic+Dependency+Ratio+In+The+Hong+Kong+SARen_HK
dc.identifier.emailYip, PSF: sfpyip@hku.hken_HK
dc.identifier.emailCheung, KSL: cslk@hku.hken_HK
dc.identifier.authorityYip, PSF=rp00596en_HK
dc.identifier.authorityCheung, KSL=rp00615en_HK
dc.description.naturelink_to_subscribed_fulltext-
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/17441730.2010.494452en_HK
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-77954845073en_HK
dc.identifier.hkuros172042en_HK
dc.relation.referenceshttp://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-77954845073&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpageen_HK
dc.identifier.volume6en_HK
dc.identifier.issue2en_HK
dc.identifier.spage241en_HK
dc.identifier.epage260en_HK
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000208546700007-
dc.publisher.placeUnited Kingdomen_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridYip, PSF=7102503720en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridCheung, KSL=8450144800en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridLaw, SCK=7202242031en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridChi, I=7005697907en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridRobine, J=7006739981en_HK

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