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Article: A longitudinal study of pediatric body mass index values predicted health in middle age

TitleA longitudinal study of pediatric body mass index values predicted health in middle age
Authors
KeywordsBody mass index
Obesity
Overweight
Prediction
Receiver operating characteristics
ROC curve
Issue Date2004
PublisherElsevier Inc. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jclinepi
Citation
Journal Of Clinical Epidemiology, 2004, v. 57 n. 12, p. 1316-1322 How to Cite?
AbstractTo characterize the use of pediatric body mass index (BMI) to predict obesity, overweight, and diseases in middle age. A longitudinal study of people born in a week in 1958 (n = 12,327). The main outcome measures are obesity (BMI ≥ 30) and overweight (BMI ≥ 25) at age 33 and disease history self-reported at age 42. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed using BMI measured at ages 7, 11, and 16 years as predictors. BMI values measured at age 11 could predict obesity at age 33 with areas under ROC curve (AUC) of 0.78 for males and 0.80 for females (each P <. 001). BMI values at age 11 predicted overweight with slightly smaller AUC (each P <. 001). They could also predict history of diabetes and hypertension (AUC = 0.60 and 0.56, respectively, each P <. 01), both sexes pooled. Prediction based on BMI at age 7 was less satisfactory; that at 16 gave limited improvement. Cutoff points based on ROC curves, the international reference, and the 85th and 95th percentiles gave very different profiles of diagnostic features. Pediatric BMI may predict adult obesity and overweight with a reasonable profile of sensitivity and specificity. © 2004 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/87582
ISSN
2015 Impact Factor: 4.703
2015 SCImago Journal Rankings: 2.559
ISI Accession Number ID
References

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorCheung, YBen_HK
dc.contributor.authorMachin, Den_HK
dc.contributor.authorKarlberg, Jen_HK
dc.contributor.authorKhoo, KSen_HK
dc.date.accessioned2010-09-06T09:31:42Z-
dc.date.available2010-09-06T09:31:42Z-
dc.date.issued2004en_HK
dc.identifier.citationJournal Of Clinical Epidemiology, 2004, v. 57 n. 12, p. 1316-1322en_HK
dc.identifier.issn0895-4356en_HK
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/87582-
dc.description.abstractTo characterize the use of pediatric body mass index (BMI) to predict obesity, overweight, and diseases in middle age. A longitudinal study of people born in a week in 1958 (n = 12,327). The main outcome measures are obesity (BMI ≥ 30) and overweight (BMI ≥ 25) at age 33 and disease history self-reported at age 42. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed using BMI measured at ages 7, 11, and 16 years as predictors. BMI values measured at age 11 could predict obesity at age 33 with areas under ROC curve (AUC) of 0.78 for males and 0.80 for females (each P <. 001). BMI values at age 11 predicted overweight with slightly smaller AUC (each P <. 001). They could also predict history of diabetes and hypertension (AUC = 0.60 and 0.56, respectively, each P <. 01), both sexes pooled. Prediction based on BMI at age 7 was less satisfactory; that at 16 gave limited improvement. Cutoff points based on ROC curves, the international reference, and the 85th and 95th percentiles gave very different profiles of diagnostic features. Pediatric BMI may predict adult obesity and overweight with a reasonable profile of sensitivity and specificity. © 2004 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.en_HK
dc.languageengen_HK
dc.publisherElsevier Inc. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jclinepien_HK
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Clinical Epidemiologyen_HK
dc.rightsJournal of Clinical Epidemiology. Copyright © Elsevier Inc.en_HK
dc.subjectBody mass indexen_HK
dc.subjectObesityen_HK
dc.subjectOverweighten_HK
dc.subjectPredictionen_HK
dc.subjectReceiver operating characteristicsen_HK
dc.subjectROC curveen_HK
dc.titleA longitudinal study of pediatric body mass index values predicted health in middle ageen_HK
dc.typeArticleen_HK
dc.identifier.openurlhttp://library.hku.hk:4550/resserv?sid=HKU:IR&issn=0895-4356&volume=57&spage=1316&epage=22&date=2004&atitle=A+Longitudinal+study+of+pediatric+body+mass+index+values+predicted+health+in+middle+ageen_HK
dc.identifier.emailKarlberg, J: jpekarl@hkucc.hku.hken_HK
dc.identifier.authorityKarlberg, J=rp00400en_HK
dc.description.naturelink_to_subscribed_fulltext-
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jclinepi.2004.04.010en_HK
dc.identifier.pmid15617958-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-11144284603en_HK
dc.identifier.hkuros96839en_HK
dc.relation.referenceshttp://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-11144284603&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpageen_HK
dc.identifier.volume57en_HK
dc.identifier.issue12en_HK
dc.identifier.spage1316en_HK
dc.identifier.epage1322en_HK
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000226154300013-
dc.publisher.placeUnited Statesen_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridCheung, YB=7202111441en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridMachin, D=7102980950en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridKarlberg, J=7005218406en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridKhoo, KS=7102371714en_HK

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