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Article: SARS incubation and quarantine times: When is an exposed individual known to be disease free?

TitleSARS incubation and quarantine times: When is an exposed individual known to be disease free?
Authors
Issue Date2005
PublisherJohn Wiley & Sons Ltd. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/0277-6715/
Citation
Statistics In Medicine, 2005, v. 24 n. 22, p. 3431-3445 How to Cite?
AbstractThe setting of a quarantine time for an emerging infectious disease will depend on current knowledge concerning incubation times. Methods for the analysis of information on incubation times are investigated with a particular focus on inference regarding a possible maximum incubation time, after which an exposed individual would be known to be disease free. Data from the Hong Kong SARS epidemic are used for illustration. The incorporation of interval-censored data is considered and comparison is made with percentile estimation. Results suggest that a wide class of models for incubation times should be considered because the apparent informativeness of a likelihood depends on the choice and generalizability of a model. There will usually remain a probability of releasing from quarantine some infected individuals and the impact of early release will depend on the size of the epidemic. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/86821
ISSN
2015 Impact Factor: 1.533
2015 SCImago Journal Rankings: 1.811
ISI Accession Number ID
References

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorFarewell, VTen_HK
dc.contributor.authorHerzberg, AMen_HK
dc.contributor.authorJames, KWen_HK
dc.contributor.authorHo, LMen_HK
dc.contributor.authorLeung, GMen_HK
dc.date.accessioned2010-09-06T09:21:44Z-
dc.date.available2010-09-06T09:21:44Z-
dc.date.issued2005en_HK
dc.identifier.citationStatistics In Medicine, 2005, v. 24 n. 22, p. 3431-3445en_HK
dc.identifier.issn0277-6715en_HK
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/86821-
dc.description.abstractThe setting of a quarantine time for an emerging infectious disease will depend on current knowledge concerning incubation times. Methods for the analysis of information on incubation times are investigated with a particular focus on inference regarding a possible maximum incubation time, after which an exposed individual would be known to be disease free. Data from the Hong Kong SARS epidemic are used for illustration. The incorporation of interval-censored data is considered and comparison is made with percentile estimation. Results suggest that a wide class of models for incubation times should be considered because the apparent informativeness of a likelihood depends on the choice and generalizability of a model. There will usually remain a probability of releasing from quarantine some infected individuals and the impact of early release will depend on the size of the epidemic. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.en_HK
dc.languageengen_HK
dc.publisherJohn Wiley & Sons Ltd. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/0277-6715/en_HK
dc.relation.ispartofStatistics in Medicineen_HK
dc.rightsStatistics in Medicine. Copyright © John Wiley & Sons Ltd.en_HK
dc.subject.meshBiometryen_HK
dc.subject.meshDisease Outbreaksen_HK
dc.subject.meshFemaleen_HK
dc.subject.meshHong Kong - epidemiologyen_HK
dc.subject.meshHumansen_HK
dc.subject.meshLikelihood Functionsen_HK
dc.subject.meshMaleen_HK
dc.subject.meshQuarantine - methodsen_HK
dc.subject.meshSevere Acute Respiratory Syndrome - epidemiology - prevention & control - transmissionen_HK
dc.subject.meshTime Factorsen_HK
dc.titleSARS incubation and quarantine times: When is an exposed individual known to be disease free?en_HK
dc.typeArticleen_HK
dc.identifier.openurlhttp://library.hku.hk:4550/resserv?sid=HKU:IR&issn=0277-6715&volume=24&spage=3434&epage=3445&date=2005&atitle=SARS+incubation+and+quarantine+times:+when+is+an+exposed+individual+known+to+be+disease+free?en_HK
dc.identifier.emailHo, LM:lmho@hkucc.hku.hken_HK
dc.identifier.emailLeung, GM:gmleung@hku.hken_HK
dc.identifier.authorityHo, LM=rp00360en_HK
dc.identifier.authorityLeung, GM=rp00460en_HK
dc.description.naturelink_to_subscribed_fulltext-
dc.identifier.doi10.1002/sim.2206en_HK
dc.identifier.pmid16237660en_HK
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-27844513339en_HK
dc.identifier.hkuros111208en_HK
dc.relation.referenceshttp://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-27844513339&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpageen_HK
dc.identifier.volume24en_HK
dc.identifier.issue22en_HK
dc.identifier.spage3431en_HK
dc.identifier.epage3445en_HK
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000233021800004-
dc.publisher.placeUnited Kingdomen_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridFarewell, VT=7005718187en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridHerzberg, AM=7006812314en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridJames, KW=15730948400en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridHo, LM=7402955625en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridLeung, GM=7007159841en_HK

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