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Article: Modelling the impact of population-based cytologic screening on cervical cancer incidence and mortality in Hong Kong: An age-period-cohort approach

TitleModelling the impact of population-based cytologic screening on cervical cancer incidence and mortality in Hong Kong: An age-period-cohort approach
Authors
Issue Date2005
PublisherNature Publishing Group. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.nature.com/bjc
Citation
British Journal Of Cancer, 2005, v. 93 n. 9, p. 1077-1083 How to Cite?
AbstractCervical cancer incidence and mortality statistics in Hong Kong during 1972-2001 were examined to estimate the potential number of cancer cases that can be averted and years of life saved after the launch of an organised, population-based cytologic screening recall programme in 2004 with projections to 2016. Incidence rates under the status quo of opportunistic screening were projected by an age-period-cohort model, using maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods. Modelled rates were translated into numbers of cancer cases and deaths using mid-year population figures and age-period-specific mortality to incidence ratios. We applied International Agency for Research on Cancer risk reduction estimates for different screening strategies to these base case figures to estimate the number of incident cancers potentially averted and years of life saved attributable to organised screening incremental to the current status quo. The estimated numbers of cases projected to be preventable by the maximum likelihood (Bayesian) approach from 2002 to 2016 were 4226 (4176), 3778 (3728) and 2334 (2287) with organised screening every 1, 3 and 5 years, compared to haphazard screening currently. Correspondingly, 33 000 (32 800), 29 500 (29 300) and 18 200 (17 900) years of life could potentially be saved. © 2005 Cancer Research UK.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/86663
ISSN
2015 Impact Factor: 5.569
2015 SCImago Journal Rankings: 2.939
ISI Accession Number ID
References

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorWoo, PPSen_HK
dc.contributor.authorThach, TQen_HK
dc.contributor.authorChoy, STBen_HK
dc.contributor.authorMcGhee, SMen_HK
dc.contributor.authorLeung, GMen_HK
dc.date.accessioned2010-09-06T09:19:48Z-
dc.date.available2010-09-06T09:19:48Z-
dc.date.issued2005en_HK
dc.identifier.citationBritish Journal Of Cancer, 2005, v. 93 n. 9, p. 1077-1083en_HK
dc.identifier.issn0007-0920en_HK
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/86663-
dc.description.abstractCervical cancer incidence and mortality statistics in Hong Kong during 1972-2001 were examined to estimate the potential number of cancer cases that can be averted and years of life saved after the launch of an organised, population-based cytologic screening recall programme in 2004 with projections to 2016. Incidence rates under the status quo of opportunistic screening were projected by an age-period-cohort model, using maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods. Modelled rates were translated into numbers of cancer cases and deaths using mid-year population figures and age-period-specific mortality to incidence ratios. We applied International Agency for Research on Cancer risk reduction estimates for different screening strategies to these base case figures to estimate the number of incident cancers potentially averted and years of life saved attributable to organised screening incremental to the current status quo. The estimated numbers of cases projected to be preventable by the maximum likelihood (Bayesian) approach from 2002 to 2016 were 4226 (4176), 3778 (3728) and 2334 (2287) with organised screening every 1, 3 and 5 years, compared to haphazard screening currently. Correspondingly, 33 000 (32 800), 29 500 (29 300) and 18 200 (17 900) years of life could potentially be saved. © 2005 Cancer Research UK.en_HK
dc.languageengen_HK
dc.publisherNature Publishing Group. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.nature.com/bjcen_HK
dc.relation.ispartofBritish Journal of Canceren_HK
dc.subject.meshAdulten_HK
dc.subject.meshAge Distributionen_HK
dc.subject.meshAgeden_HK
dc.subject.meshCervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia - diagnosis - epidemiology - prevention & controlen_HK
dc.subject.meshCohort Studiesen_HK
dc.subject.meshFemaleen_HK
dc.subject.meshHong Kong - epidemiologyen_HK
dc.subject.meshHumansen_HK
dc.subject.meshIncidenceen_HK
dc.subject.meshMass Screeningen_HK
dc.subject.meshMiddle Ageden_HK
dc.subject.meshModels, Theoreticalen_HK
dc.subject.meshMortalityen_HK
dc.subject.meshUterine Cervical Neoplasms - diagnosis - epidemiology - prevention & controlen_HK
dc.titleModelling the impact of population-based cytologic screening on cervical cancer incidence and mortality in Hong Kong: An age-period-cohort approachen_HK
dc.typeArticleen_HK
dc.identifier.openurlhttp://library.hku.hk:4550/resserv?sid=HKU:IR&issn=0007-0920&volume=93&spage=1077&epage=1083&date=2005&atitle=Modelling+the+impact+of+population-based+cytologic+screening+on+cervical+cancer+incidence+and+mortality+in+Hong+Kong:+An+age-period-cohort+approachen_HK
dc.identifier.emailThach, TQ:thach@hku.hken_HK
dc.identifier.emailMcGhee, SM:smmcghee@hkucc.hku.hken_HK
dc.identifier.emailLeung, GM:gmleung@hku.hken_HK
dc.identifier.authorityThach, TQ=rp00450en_HK
dc.identifier.authorityMcGhee, SM=rp00393en_HK
dc.identifier.authorityLeung, GM=rp00460en_HK
dc.description.naturelink_to_subscribed_fulltext-
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/sj.bjc.6602805en_HK
dc.identifier.pmid16205695-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-27644564870en_HK
dc.identifier.hkuros115460en_HK
dc.relation.referenceshttp://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-27644564870&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpageen_HK
dc.identifier.volume93en_HK
dc.identifier.issue9en_HK
dc.identifier.spage1077en_HK
dc.identifier.epage1083en_HK
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000232807700020-
dc.publisher.placeUnited Kingdomen_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridWoo, PPS=8426498200en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridThach, TQ=6602850066en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridChoy, STB=7004160354en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridMcGhee, SM=7003288588en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridLeung, GM=7007159841en_HK
dc.identifier.citeulike341121-

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