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Article: Bayesian inference for a stochastic epidemic model with uncertain numbers of susceptibles of several types
Title | Bayesian inference for a stochastic epidemic model with uncertain numbers of susceptibles of several types |
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Authors | |
Keywords | Bayesian inference Epidemic Gibbs sampler Markov chain Monte Carlo methods Metropolis-Hastings algorithm |
Issue Date | 2003 |
Publisher | Blackwell Publishing Asia. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journals/ANZS |
Citation | Australian And New Zealand Journal Of Statistics, 2003, v. 45 n. 4, p. 491-502 How to Cite? |
Abstract | A stochastic epidemic model with several kinds of susceptible is used to analyse temporal disease outbreak data from a Bayesian perspective. Prior distributions are used to model uncertainty in the actual numbers of susceptibles initially present. The posterior distribution of the parameters of the model is explored via Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The methods are illustrated using two datasets, and the results are compared where possible to results obtained by previous analyses. |
Persistent Identifier | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/82974 |
ISSN | 2023 Impact Factor: 0.8 2023 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.344 |
ISI Accession Number ID | |
References |
DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | Hayakawa, Y | en_HK |
dc.contributor.author | O'Neill, PD | en_HK |
dc.contributor.author | Upton, D | en_HK |
dc.contributor.author | Yip, PSF | en_HK |
dc.date.accessioned | 2010-09-06T08:35:30Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2010-09-06T08:35:30Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2003 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.citation | Australian And New Zealand Journal Of Statistics, 2003, v. 45 n. 4, p. 491-502 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.issn | 1369-1473 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/82974 | - |
dc.description.abstract | A stochastic epidemic model with several kinds of susceptible is used to analyse temporal disease outbreak data from a Bayesian perspective. Prior distributions are used to model uncertainty in the actual numbers of susceptibles initially present. The posterior distribution of the parameters of the model is explored via Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The methods are illustrated using two datasets, and the results are compared where possible to results obtained by previous analyses. | en_HK |
dc.language | eng | en_HK |
dc.publisher | Blackwell Publishing Asia. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journals/ANZS | en_HK |
dc.relation.ispartof | Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statistics | en_HK |
dc.subject | Bayesian inference | en_HK |
dc.subject | Epidemic | en_HK |
dc.subject | Gibbs sampler | en_HK |
dc.subject | Markov chain Monte Carlo methods | en_HK |
dc.subject | Metropolis-Hastings algorithm | en_HK |
dc.title | Bayesian inference for a stochastic epidemic model with uncertain numbers of susceptibles of several types | en_HK |
dc.type | Article | en_HK |
dc.identifier.openurl | http://library.hku.hk:4550/resserv?sid=HKU:IR&issn=1369-1473&volume=45&issue=4&spage=491&epage=502&date=2003&atitle=Bayesian+inference+for+a+stochastic+epidemic+model+with+uncertain+numbers+of+susceptibles+of+several+types | en_HK |
dc.identifier.email | Yip, PSF: sfpyip@hku.hk | en_HK |
dc.identifier.authority | Yip, PSF=rp00596 | en_HK |
dc.description.nature | link_to_subscribed_fulltext | - |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1111/1467-842X.00300 | - |
dc.identifier.scopus | eid_2-s2.0-0344153844 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.hkuros | 94262 | en_HK |
dc.relation.references | http://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-0344153844&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpage | en_HK |
dc.identifier.volume | 45 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.issue | 4 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.spage | 491 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.epage | 502 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.isi | WOS:000186896900010 | - |
dc.publisher.place | Australia | en_HK |
dc.identifier.scopusauthorid | Hayakawa, Y=7201356213 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.scopusauthorid | O'Neill, PD=7201735452 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.scopusauthorid | Upton, D=7005679083 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.scopusauthorid | Yip, PSF=7102503720 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.issnl | 1369-1473 | - |