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Article: Statistical tests on the consistency of results of different polls under a two-vote system

TitleStatistical tests on the consistency of results of different polls under a two-vote system
Authors
Fung, WK
Keywords1991 direct elections in Hong Kong
Block-vote system
Contingency table
Tests for independence
Issue Date1996
PublisherSouth African Statistical Association.
Citation
South African Statistical Journal, 1996, v. 30 n. 1, p. 49-62 How to Cite?
AbstractIn a unique block vote system where each voter is allowed to vote for two candidates in his constituency, tests are proposed for various sets of hypotheses on the consistency of results of polls conducted by different institutions. The meanings, implications and relationships of these hypotheses are discussed. The results of polls conducted by three academic institutions on the elections by geographical constituencies to the Legislative Council of Hong Kong in 1991 are analysed. The critical values of the test statistics can be closely approximated using chi-squared distributions. It is found that the tests give very similar results with the conclusion that the three institutions gave very different results statistically.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/82752
ISSN
0038-271X
2020 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.169
References
References in Scopus

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorFung, WKen_HK
dc.date.accessioned2010-09-06T08:33:00Z-
dc.date.available2010-09-06T08:33:00Z-
dc.date.issued1996en_HK
dc.identifier.citationSouth African Statistical Journal, 1996, v. 30 n. 1, p. 49-62en_HK
dc.identifier.issn0038-271Xen_HK
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/82752-
dc.description.abstractIn a unique block vote system where each voter is allowed to vote for two candidates in his constituency, tests are proposed for various sets of hypotheses on the consistency of results of polls conducted by different institutions. The meanings, implications and relationships of these hypotheses are discussed. The results of polls conducted by three academic institutions on the elections by geographical constituencies to the Legislative Council of Hong Kong in 1991 are analysed. The critical values of the test statistics can be closely approximated using chi-squared distributions. It is found that the tests give very similar results with the conclusion that the three institutions gave very different results statistically.en_HK
dc.languageengen_HK
dc.publisherSouth African Statistical Association.en_HK
dc.relation.ispartofSouth African Statistical Journalen_HK
dc.subject1991 direct elections in Hong Kongen_HK
dc.subjectBlock-vote systemen_HK
dc.subjectContingency tableen_HK
dc.subjectTests for independenceen_HK
dc.titleStatistical tests on the consistency of results of different polls under a two-vote systemen_HK
dc.typeArticleen_HK
dc.identifier.openurlhttp://library.hku.hk:4550/resserv?sid=HKU:IR&issn=0038-271X&volume=30&spage=49&epage=62&date=1996&atitle=Statistical+tests+on+the+consistency+of+results+of+different+polls+under+a+two-vote+systemen_HK
dc.identifier.emailFung, WK: wingfung@hku.hken_HK
dc.identifier.authorityFung, WK=rp00696en_HK
dc.description.naturelink_to_subscribed_fulltext-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-25444510634en_HK
dc.identifier.hkuros26818en_HK
dc.relation.referenceshttp://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-25444510634&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpageen_HK
dc.identifier.volume30en_HK
dc.identifier.issue1en_HK
dc.identifier.spage49en_HK
dc.identifier.epage62en_HK
dc.publisher.placeSouth Africaen_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridFung, WK=13310399400en_HK
dc.identifier.issnl0038-271X-

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