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Article: Case studies of seasonal rainfall forecasts for Hong Kong and its vicinity using a regional climate model

TitleCase studies of seasonal rainfall forecasts for Hong Kong and its vicinity using a regional climate model
Authors
KeywordsDynamical downscaling
Hong Kong
Regional climate model
Scaled Hanssen and Kuipers score
Seasonal rainfall forecasts
Southern China
Issue Date2007
PublisherSpringer Verlag Dordrecht. The Journal's web site is located at http://springerlink.metapress.com/openurl.asp?genre=journal&issn=0921-030x
Citation
Natural Hazards, 2007, v. 42 n. 1, p. 193-207 How to Cite?
AbstractSeasonal climate forecasts are one of the most promising tools for providing early warnings for natural hazards such as floods and droughts. Using two case studies, this paper documents the skill of a regional climate model in the seasonal forecasting of below normal rainfall in southern China during the rainy seasons of July-August-September 2003 and April-May-June 2004. The regional model is based on the Regional Spectral Model of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction of the United States. It is the first time that the model has been applied to a region dominated by the East Asian Monsoon. The article shows that the regional climate model, when being forced by reasonably good forecasts from a global model, can generate useful seasonal rainfall forecasts for the region, where it is dominated by the East Asia monsoon. The spatial details of the dry conditions obtained from the regional climate model forecast are also found to be comparable with the observed distribution. © Springer Science+Business Media, Inc. 2007.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/71589
ISSN
2015 Impact Factor: 1.746
2015 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.851
ISI Accession Number ID
References

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorHui, DTWen_HK
dc.contributor.authorShum, KKYen_HK
dc.contributor.authorChen, Jen_HK
dc.contributor.authorChen, SCen_HK
dc.contributor.authorRitchie, Jen_HK
dc.contributor.authorRoads, JOen_HK
dc.date.accessioned2010-09-06T06:33:22Z-
dc.date.available2010-09-06T06:33:22Z-
dc.date.issued2007en_HK
dc.identifier.citationNatural Hazards, 2007, v. 42 n. 1, p. 193-207en_HK
dc.identifier.issn0921-030Xen_HK
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/71589-
dc.description.abstractSeasonal climate forecasts are one of the most promising tools for providing early warnings for natural hazards such as floods and droughts. Using two case studies, this paper documents the skill of a regional climate model in the seasonal forecasting of below normal rainfall in southern China during the rainy seasons of July-August-September 2003 and April-May-June 2004. The regional model is based on the Regional Spectral Model of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction of the United States. It is the first time that the model has been applied to a region dominated by the East Asian Monsoon. The article shows that the regional climate model, when being forced by reasonably good forecasts from a global model, can generate useful seasonal rainfall forecasts for the region, where it is dominated by the East Asia monsoon. The spatial details of the dry conditions obtained from the regional climate model forecast are also found to be comparable with the observed distribution. © Springer Science+Business Media, Inc. 2007.en_HK
dc.languageengen_HK
dc.publisherSpringer Verlag Dordrecht. The Journal's web site is located at http://springerlink.metapress.com/openurl.asp?genre=journal&issn=0921-030xen_HK
dc.relation.ispartofNatural Hazardsen_HK
dc.subjectDynamical downscalingen_HK
dc.subjectHong Kongen_HK
dc.subjectRegional climate modelen_HK
dc.subjectScaled Hanssen and Kuipers scoreen_HK
dc.subjectSeasonal rainfall forecastsen_HK
dc.subjectSouthern Chinaen_HK
dc.titleCase studies of seasonal rainfall forecasts for Hong Kong and its vicinity using a regional climate modelen_HK
dc.typeArticleen_HK
dc.identifier.openurlhttp://library.hku.hk:4550/resserv?sid=HKU:IR&issn=0921-030X&volume=42&spage=193&epage=207&date=2007&atitle=Case+studies+of+seasonal+rainfall+forecasts+for+Hong+Kong+and+its+vicinity+using+a+regional+climate+modelen_HK
dc.identifier.emailChen, J:jichen@hkucc.hku.hken_HK
dc.identifier.authorityChen, J=rp00098en_HK
dc.description.naturelink_to_subscribed_fulltext-
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11069-006-9068-zen_HK
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-34250016876en_HK
dc.identifier.hkuros138153en_HK
dc.relation.referenceshttp://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-34250016876&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpageen_HK
dc.identifier.volume42en_HK
dc.identifier.issue1en_HK
dc.identifier.spage193en_HK
dc.identifier.epage207en_HK
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000247313500012-
dc.publisher.placeNetherlandsen_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridHui, DTW=16443934400en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridShum, KKY=16445129000en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridChen, J=16443980300en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridChen, SC=7410263271en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridRitchie, J=16444905200en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridRoads, JO=7005793728en_HK
dc.identifier.citeulike1462328-

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