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Article: Modelling and predicting construction durations in Hong Kong public housing

TitleModelling and predicting construction durations in Hong Kong public housing
Authors
KeywordsConstruction durations
Hong Kong public housing
Modelling
Multiple linear regression
Predicting
Issue Date1999
PublisherRoutledge. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals/titles/01446193.asp
Citation
Construction Management And Economics, 1999, v. 17 n. 3, p. 351-362 How to Cite?
AbstractConstruction time performance is provoking world-wide concern and discussion within the industry. This paper reports the results of a survey in the fourth stage of an investigation seeking to identify a set of significant variables influencing construction durations of projects in Hong Kong, the stage addressing the formulation of standard norms for overall construction durations of public housing projects by modelling the primary work packages in the building process, namely piling, pile caps/raft, superstructure, E and M services, finishes and their respective sequential start-start lag times, on the basis of the identified groups of critical factors. Data were collected from a sample of 56 standard 'Harmony' type domestic blocks of the Hong Kong Housing Authority; (the 'Harmony' series of block design having become popular for average quality public housing blocks in the 1990s, ranging from 30 to 40 storeys and containing about 16 residential units on each floor). These data were analysed through a series of multiple linear regression exercises that helped to establish the time prediction model. This model was then tested and validated using information from a further nine projects from the Housing Authority. Both the usefulness and shortcomings of the model are briefly presented and discussed. It is concluded that the model is applicable to the public housing industry in Hong Kong, and that the methodology used may be applied to develop similarly useful models in other subsectors, and in other countries.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/71381
ISSN
2015 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.967
References

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorChan, DWMen_HK
dc.contributor.authorKumaraswamy, MMen_HK
dc.date.accessioned2010-09-06T06:31:28Z-
dc.date.available2010-09-06T06:31:28Z-
dc.date.issued1999en_HK
dc.identifier.citationConstruction Management And Economics, 1999, v. 17 n. 3, p. 351-362en_HK
dc.identifier.issn0144-6193en_HK
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/71381-
dc.description.abstractConstruction time performance is provoking world-wide concern and discussion within the industry. This paper reports the results of a survey in the fourth stage of an investigation seeking to identify a set of significant variables influencing construction durations of projects in Hong Kong, the stage addressing the formulation of standard norms for overall construction durations of public housing projects by modelling the primary work packages in the building process, namely piling, pile caps/raft, superstructure, E and M services, finishes and their respective sequential start-start lag times, on the basis of the identified groups of critical factors. Data were collected from a sample of 56 standard 'Harmony' type domestic blocks of the Hong Kong Housing Authority; (the 'Harmony' series of block design having become popular for average quality public housing blocks in the 1990s, ranging from 30 to 40 storeys and containing about 16 residential units on each floor). These data were analysed through a series of multiple linear regression exercises that helped to establish the time prediction model. This model was then tested and validated using information from a further nine projects from the Housing Authority. Both the usefulness and shortcomings of the model are briefly presented and discussed. It is concluded that the model is applicable to the public housing industry in Hong Kong, and that the methodology used may be applied to develop similarly useful models in other subsectors, and in other countries.en_HK
dc.languageengen_HK
dc.publisherRoutledge. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals/titles/01446193.aspen_HK
dc.relation.ispartofConstruction Management and Economicsen_HK
dc.subjectConstruction durationsen_HK
dc.subjectHong Kong public housingen_HK
dc.subjectModellingen_HK
dc.subjectMultiple linear regressionen_HK
dc.subjectPredictingen_HK
dc.titleModelling and predicting construction durations in Hong Kong public housingen_HK
dc.typeArticleen_HK
dc.identifier.openurlhttp://library.hku.hk:4550/resserv?sid=HKU:IR&issn=0144-6193&volume=17 &issue=3&spage=351 &epage= 362&date=1999&atitle=Modelling+and+Predicting+Construction+Durations+in+Hong+Kong+Public+Housingen_HK
dc.identifier.emailKumaraswamy, MM:mohan@hkucc.hku.hken_HK
dc.identifier.authorityKumaraswamy, MM=rp00126en_HK
dc.description.naturelink_to_subscribed_fulltext-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-0032774744en_HK
dc.identifier.hkuros43362en_HK
dc.relation.referenceshttp://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-0032774744&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpageen_HK
dc.identifier.volume17en_HK
dc.identifier.issue3en_HK
dc.identifier.spage351en_HK
dc.identifier.epage362en_HK
dc.publisher.placeUnited Kingdomen_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridChan, DWM=15724643800en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridKumaraswamy, MM=35566270600en_HK

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