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- Publisher Website: 10.1073/pnas.0911841107
- Scopus: eid_2-s2.0-77955456058
- PMID: 20616038
- WOS: WOS:000279843200035
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Article: Tolerance adaptation and precipitation changes complicate latitudinal patterns of climate change impacts
Title | Tolerance adaptation and precipitation changes complicate latitudinal patterns of climate change impacts |
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Authors | |
Keywords | Biodiversity Environmental tolerance Global warming |
Issue Date | 2010 |
Publisher | National Academy of Sciences. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.pnas.org |
Citation | Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences Of The United States Of America, 2010, v. 107 n. 28, p. 12581-12586 How to Cite? |
Abstract | Global patterns of biodiversity and comparisons between tropical and temperate ecosystems have pervaded ecology from its inception. However, the urgency in understanding these global patterns has been accentuated by the threat of rapid climate change. We apply an adaptive model of environmental tolerance evolution to global climate data and climate change model projections to examine the relative impacts of climate change on different regions of the globe. Our results project more adverse impacts of warming on tropical populations due to environmental tolerance adaptation to conditions of low interannual variability in temperature. When applied to present variability and future forecasts of precipitation data, the tolerance adaptation model found large reductions in fitness predicted for populations in highlatitude northern hemisphere regions, although some tropical regions had comparable reductions in fitness. We formulated an evolutionary regional climate change index (ERCCI) to additionally incorporate the predicted changes in the interannual variability of temperature and precipitation. Based on this index, we suggest that the magnitude of climate change impacts could be much more heterogeneous across latitude than previously thought. Specifically, tropical regions are likely to be just as affected as temperate regions and, in some regions under some circumstances, possibly more so. |
Persistent Identifier | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/169861 |
ISSN | 2023 Impact Factor: 9.4 2023 SCImago Journal Rankings: 3.737 |
ISI Accession Number ID | |
References |
DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | Bonebrake, TC | en_HK |
dc.contributor.author | Mastrandrea, MD | en_HK |
dc.date.accessioned | 2012-10-25T04:57:08Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2012-10-25T04:57:08Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2010 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.citation | Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences Of The United States Of America, 2010, v. 107 n. 28, p. 12581-12586 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.issn | 0027-8424 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/169861 | - |
dc.description.abstract | Global patterns of biodiversity and comparisons between tropical and temperate ecosystems have pervaded ecology from its inception. However, the urgency in understanding these global patterns has been accentuated by the threat of rapid climate change. We apply an adaptive model of environmental tolerance evolution to global climate data and climate change model projections to examine the relative impacts of climate change on different regions of the globe. Our results project more adverse impacts of warming on tropical populations due to environmental tolerance adaptation to conditions of low interannual variability in temperature. When applied to present variability and future forecasts of precipitation data, the tolerance adaptation model found large reductions in fitness predicted for populations in highlatitude northern hemisphere regions, although some tropical regions had comparable reductions in fitness. We formulated an evolutionary regional climate change index (ERCCI) to additionally incorporate the predicted changes in the interannual variability of temperature and precipitation. Based on this index, we suggest that the magnitude of climate change impacts could be much more heterogeneous across latitude than previously thought. Specifically, tropical regions are likely to be just as affected as temperate regions and, in some regions under some circumstances, possibly more so. | en_HK |
dc.language | eng | en_US |
dc.publisher | National Academy of Sciences. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.pnas.org | en_HK |
dc.relation.ispartof | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America | en_HK |
dc.subject | Biodiversity | en_HK |
dc.subject | Environmental tolerance | en_HK |
dc.subject | Global warming | en_HK |
dc.subject.mesh | Adaptation, Physiological | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Biodiversity | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Biological Evolution | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Climate | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Climate Change | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Ecosystem | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Forecasting | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Geography | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Temperature | en_US |
dc.title | Tolerance adaptation and precipitation changes complicate latitudinal patterns of climate change impacts | en_HK |
dc.type | Article | en_HK |
dc.identifier.email | Bonebrake, TC: tbone@hku.hk | en_HK |
dc.identifier.authority | Bonebrake, TC=rp01676 | en_HK |
dc.description.nature | link_to_subscribed_fulltext | en_US |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1073/pnas.0911841107 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.pmid | 20616038 | - |
dc.identifier.scopus | eid_2-s2.0-77955456058 | en_HK |
dc.relation.references | http://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-77955456058&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpage | en_HK |
dc.identifier.volume | 107 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.issue | 28 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.spage | 12581 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.epage | 12586 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.isi | WOS:000279843200035 | - |
dc.publisher.place | United States | en_HK |
dc.identifier.scopusauthorid | Bonebrake, TC=12798028100 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.scopusauthorid | Mastrandrea, MD=6602804620 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.citeulike | 7476585 | - |
dc.identifier.issnl | 0027-8424 | - |