Article: Reasoning about evidence using Bayesian networks

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TitleReasoning about evidence using Bayesian networks
AuthorsKwan, M1
Chow, KP1
Law, F1
Lai, P1
KeywordsBayesian Networks
Digital Evidence
Hypotheses
Probability
Issue Date2008
CitationIfip International Federation For Information Processing, 2008, v. 285, p. 275-289 [How to Cite?]
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-84927-0_22
AbstractThere is an escalating perception in some quarters that the conclusions drawn from digital evidence are the subjective views of individuals and have limited scientific justification. This paper attempts to address this problem by presenting a formal model for reasoning about digital evidence. A Bayesian network is used to quantify the evidential strengths of hypotheses and, thus, enhance the reliability and traceability of the results produced by digital forensic investigations. The validity of the model is tested using a real court case. The test uses objective probability assignments obtained by aggregating the responses of experienced law enforcement agents and analysts. The results confirmed the guilty verdict in the court case with a probability value of 92.7%. © 2008 International Federation for Information Processing.
ISSN1571-5736
2011 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.027
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-84927-0_22
ReferencesReferences in Scopus
DC Field
Value
dc.contributor.authorKwan, M
dc.contributor.authorChow, KP
dc.contributor.authorLaw, F
dc.contributor.authorLai, P
dc.date.accessioned2012-06-26T06:38:06Z
dc.date.available2012-06-26T06:38:06Z
dc.date.issued2008
dc.description.abstractThere is an escalating perception in some quarters that the conclusions drawn from digital evidence are the subjective views of individuals and have limited scientific justification. This paper attempts to address this problem by presenting a formal model for reasoning about digital evidence. A Bayesian network is used to quantify the evidential strengths of hypotheses and, thus, enhance the reliability and traceability of the results produced by digital forensic investigations. The validity of the model is tested using a real court case. The test uses objective probability assignments obtained by aggregating the responses of experienced law enforcement agents and analysts. The results confirmed the guilty verdict in the court case with a probability value of 92.7%. © 2008 International Federation for Information Processing.
dc.description.natureLink_to_subscribed_fulltext
dc.identifier.citationIfip International Federation For Information Processing, 2008, v. 285, p. 275-289 [How to Cite?]
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-84927-0_22
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-84927-0_22
dc.identifier.epage289
dc.identifier.issn1571-5736
2011 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.027
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-51149102478
dc.identifier.spage275
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/152401
dc.identifier.volume285
dc.languageeng
dc.relation.ispartofIFIP International Federation for Information Processing
dc.relation.referencesReferences in Scopus
dc.subjectBayesian Networks
dc.subjectDigital Evidence
dc.subjectHypotheses
dc.subjectProbability
dc.titleReasoning about evidence using Bayesian networks
dc.typeArticle
Author Affiliations
  1. The University of Hong Kong