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Article: A checking method for probabilistic seismic-hazard assessment: case studies on three cities

TitleA checking method for probabilistic seismic-hazard assessment: case studies on three cities
Authors
KeywordsEarth sciences
Hydrogeology
Geophysics and Geodesy
Geotechnical Engineering
Civil Engineering
Environmental Management
Issue Date2010
PublisherSpringer Netherlands
Citation
Natural Hazards, 2010, v. 58, n. 1, p. 67-84 How to Cite?
AbstractThe conventional Cornell's source-based approach of probabilistic seismic-hazard assessment (PSHA) has been employed all around the world, whilst many studies often rely on the use of computer packages such as FRISK (McGuire FRISK-a computer program for seismic risk analysis. Open-File Report 78-1007, United States Geological Survey, Department of Interior, Washington 1978) and SEISRISK III (Bender and Perkins SEISRISK III-a computer program for seismic hazard estimation, Bulletin 1772. United States Geological Survey, Department of Interior, Washington 1987). A "black-box" syndrome may be resulted if the user of the software does not have another simple and robust PSHA method that can be used to make comparisons. An alternative method for PSHA, namely direct amplitude-based (DAB) approach, has been developed as a heuristic and efficient method enabling users to undertake their own sanity checks on outputs from computer packages. This paper experiments the application of the DAB approach for three cities in China, Iran, and India, respectively, and compares with documented results computed by the source-based approach. Several insights regarding the procedure of conducting PSHA have also been obtained, which could be useful for future seismic-hazard studies. © 2010 The Author(s).
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/145072
ISSN
2015 Impact Factor: 1.746
2015 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.851
ISI Accession Number ID
References

Ordaz M (2004) Some integrals useful for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. Bull Seismol Soc Am 94:1510–1516 doi: 10.1785/012003182

Sarma SK, Srbulov M (1996) A simplified method for prediction of kinematic soil-foundation interaction effects on peak horizontal acceleration of a rigid foundation. Earthq Eng Struct Dyn 25(8):815–836 doi: 10.1002/(SICI)1096-9845(199608)25:8%3C815::AID-EQE583%3E3.0.CO;2-Z

Tsai CCP (2000) Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis considering nonlinear site effect. Bull Seismol Soc Am 90:66–72 doi: 10.1785/0119980187

Schwartz DP, Coppersmith KJ (1984) Fault behavior and characteristic earthquakes: examples from the Wasatch and San Andreas faults. J Geophys Res 89:5681–5698 doi: 10.1029/JB089iB07p05681

Ambraseys NN, Bommer JJ (1991) The attenuation of ground accelerations in Europe. Earthquake Eng Struct Dyn 20(12):1179–1202 doi: 10.1002/eqe.4290201207

Anbazhagan P, Vinod JS, Sitharam TG (2009) Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for Bangalore. Nat Hazards 48:145–166 doi: 10.1007/s11069-008-9253-3

Atkinson GM, Boore DM (2006) Earthquake ground-motion prediction equations for eastern North America. Bull Seismol Soc Am 96(6):2181–2205 doi: 10.1785/0120050245

Barani S, Spallarossa D, Bazzurro P, Eva C (2007) Sensitivity analysis of seismic hazard for western Liguria (north western Italy): a first attempt towards the understanding and quantification of hazard uncertainty. Tectonophysics 435:13–35 doi: 10.1016/j.tecto.2007.02.008

Campbell KW (2003) Prediction of strong ground motion using the hybrid empirical method and its use in the development of ground-motion (attenuation) relations in eastern north America. Bull Seismol Soc Am 93:1012–1033 doi: 10.1785/0120020002

Chandler AM, Lam NTK (2002) Scenario predictions for potential near-field and far-field earthquakes affecting Hong Kong. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 22:29–46 doi: 10.1016/S0267-7261(01)00052-5

Chandler AM, Lam NTK, Tsang HH (2005a) Shear wave velocity modelling in crustal rock for seismic hazard analysis. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 25(2):167–185 doi: 10.1016/j.soildyn.2004.08.005

Chandler AM, Lam NTK, Tsang HH (2006a) Regional and local factors in attenuation modelling: Hong Kong case study. J Asian Earth Sci 27(6):892–906 doi: 10.1016/j.jseaes.2005.09.005

Chandler AM, Lam NTK, Tsang HH (2006b) Near-surface attenuation modelling based on rock shear-wave velocity profile. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 26:1004–1014 doi: 10.1016/j.soildyn.2006.02.010

Cramer CH (2003) Site-specific seismic-hazard analysis that is completely probabilistic. Bull Seismol Soc Am 93:1841–1846 doi: 10.1785/0120020206

Douglas J (2003) Earthquake ground motion estimation using strong-motion records: a review of equations for the estimation of peak ground acceleration and response spectral ordinates. Earth Sci Rev 61:43–104 doi: 10.1016/S0012-8252(02)00112-5

Ghodrati Amiri G, Motamed R, Rabet Es-Haghi H (2003) Seismic hazard assessment of metropolitan Tehran, Iran. J Earthq Eng 7:347–372 doi: 10.1142/S136324690300119X

Kijko A, Graham G (1999) “Parametric-historic” procedure for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis—Part II: assessment of seismic hazard at specified site. Pure Appl Geophys 154:1–22 doi: 10.1007/s000240050218

Menon A, Ornthammarath T, Corigliana M, Lai CG (2010) Probabilistic seismic hazard macrozonation of Tamil Nadu in Southern India. Bull Seismol Soc Am 100(3):1320–1341 doi: 10.1785/0120090071

Tsang HH, Chandler AM (2006) Site-specific probabilistic seismic-hazard assessment: direct amplitude-based approach. Bull Seismol Soc Am 96:392–403 doi: 10.1785/0120050027

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorTsang, HHen_US
dc.contributor.authorYaghmaei-Sabegh, Sen_US
dc.contributor.authorAnbazhagan, Pen_US
dc.contributor.authorSheikh, MNen_US
dc.date.accessioned2012-02-21T05:44:19Z-
dc.date.available2012-02-21T05:44:19Z-
dc.date.issued2010en_US
dc.identifier.citationNatural Hazards, 2010, v. 58, n. 1, p. 67-84en_US
dc.identifier.issn0921-030Xen_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/145072-
dc.description.abstractThe conventional Cornell's source-based approach of probabilistic seismic-hazard assessment (PSHA) has been employed all around the world, whilst many studies often rely on the use of computer packages such as FRISK (McGuire FRISK-a computer program for seismic risk analysis. Open-File Report 78-1007, United States Geological Survey, Department of Interior, Washington 1978) and SEISRISK III (Bender and Perkins SEISRISK III-a computer program for seismic hazard estimation, Bulletin 1772. United States Geological Survey, Department of Interior, Washington 1987). A "black-box" syndrome may be resulted if the user of the software does not have another simple and robust PSHA method that can be used to make comparisons. An alternative method for PSHA, namely direct amplitude-based (DAB) approach, has been developed as a heuristic and efficient method enabling users to undertake their own sanity checks on outputs from computer packages. This paper experiments the application of the DAB approach for three cities in China, Iran, and India, respectively, and compares with documented results computed by the source-based approach. Several insights regarding the procedure of conducting PSHA have also been obtained, which could be useful for future seismic-hazard studies. © 2010 The Author(s).en_US
dc.languageengen_US
dc.publisherSpringer Netherlandsen_US
dc.relation.ispartofNatural Hazardsen_US
dc.rightsThe Author(s)en_US
dc.rightsCreative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong Licenseen_US
dc.subjectEarth sciencesen_US
dc.subjectHydrogeologyen_US
dc.subjectGeophysics and Geodesyen_US
dc.subjectGeotechnical Engineeringen_US
dc.subjectCivil Engineeringen_US
dc.subjectEnvironmental Managementen_US
dc.titleA checking method for probabilistic seismic-hazard assessment: case studies on three citiesen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.identifier.openurlhttp://library.hku.hk:4551/resserv?sid=springerlink&genre=article&atitle=A checking method for probabilistic seismic-hazard assessment: case studies on three cities&title=Natural Hazards&issn=0921030X&date=2011-07-01&volume=58&issue=1& spage=67&authors=Hing-Ho Tsang, Saman Yaghmaei-Sabegh, P. Anbazhagan, <i>et al.</i>en_US
dc.description.naturepublished_or_final_versionen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11069-010-9643-1en_US
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-79958820969en_US
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dc.identifier.volume58en_US
dc.identifier.issue1en_US
dc.identifier.spage67en_US
dc.identifier.epage84en_US
dc.identifier.eissn1573-0840en_US
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000291696300005-
dc.description.otherSpringer Open Choice, 21 Feb 2012en_US
dc.identifier.citeulike8214482-

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