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Article: The dynamics of long forward rate term structures
Title | The dynamics of long forward rate term structures |
---|---|
Authors | |
Issue Date | 2010 |
Publisher | John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/0270-7314/ |
Citation | Journal Of Futures Markets, 2010, v. 30 n. 10, p. 957-982 How to Cite? |
Abstract | In this article, we look at study the dynamics of forward rates with maturities longer than 14 years. We re-document the phenomenon of the downward sloping long forward rate term structure using U.S. Treasury STRIPS data over the period 1988 to 2007. By calibrating Diebold F. X. and Li C.-L.'s (2006) dynamic Nelson C. R. and Siegel A. F. (1987) and Christensen J. H. E., Diebold F. X., and Rudebusch G. D.'s (2007) arbitrage-free Nelson-Siegel models, we find that both models explain the empirical phenomenon very well. Out-of-sample comparison shows that imposing no-arbitrage restriction indeed improves the forecasting performance. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. |
Persistent Identifier | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/129433 |
ISSN | 2023 Impact Factor: 1.8 2023 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.672 |
ISI Accession Number ID | |
References |
DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | Luo, X | en_HK |
dc.contributor.author | Zhang, JE | en_HK |
dc.date.accessioned | 2010-12-23T08:37:12Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2010-12-23T08:37:12Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2010 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.citation | Journal Of Futures Markets, 2010, v. 30 n. 10, p. 957-982 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.issn | 0270-7314 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/129433 | - |
dc.description.abstract | In this article, we look at study the dynamics of forward rates with maturities longer than 14 years. We re-document the phenomenon of the downward sloping long forward rate term structure using U.S. Treasury STRIPS data over the period 1988 to 2007. By calibrating Diebold F. X. and Li C.-L.'s (2006) dynamic Nelson C. R. and Siegel A. F. (1987) and Christensen J. H. E., Diebold F. X., and Rudebusch G. D.'s (2007) arbitrage-free Nelson-Siegel models, we find that both models explain the empirical phenomenon very well. Out-of-sample comparison shows that imposing no-arbitrage restriction indeed improves the forecasting performance. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. | en_HK |
dc.language | eng | en_US |
dc.publisher | John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/0270-7314/ | en_HK |
dc.relation.ispartof | Journal of Futures Markets | en_HK |
dc.rights | The Journal of Futures Markets. Copyright © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. | - |
dc.title | The dynamics of long forward rate term structures | en_HK |
dc.type | Article | en_HK |
dc.identifier.openurl | http://library.hku.hk:4550/resserv?sid=HKU:IR&issn=0270-7314&volume=30&issue=10&spage=957&epage=982&date=2010&atitle=The+Dynamics+of+Long+Forward+Rate+Term+Structures | - |
dc.identifier.email | Zhang, JE: jinzhang@hku.hk | en_HK |
dc.identifier.authority | Zhang, JE=rp01125 | en_HK |
dc.description.nature | link_to_subscribed_fulltext | - |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1002/fut.20447 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.scopus | eid_2-s2.0-77956133292 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.hkuros | 177304 | en_US |
dc.relation.references | http://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-77956133292&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpage | en_HK |
dc.identifier.volume | 30 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.issue | 10 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.spage | 957 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.epage | 982 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.isi | WOS:000280678100003 | - |
dc.publisher.place | United States | en_HK |
dc.identifier.scopusauthorid | Luo, X=36451930100 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.scopusauthorid | Zhang, JE=7601346659 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.issnl | 0270-7314 | - |