Reduced hepatic steatosis is associated with higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B infection

Abstract

Background: Concomitant chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is common, but the implications of NAFLD on clinical outcomes of CHB, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), are not well-investigated.

Methods: CHB patients were recruited for transient elastography assessment for liver stiffness (LS), and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), a non-invasive quantification of hepatic steatosis, and were prospectively followed up for development of HCC. Steatosis and severe steatosis were diagnosed by CAP ≥ 248 dB/m and ≥ 280 dB/m respectively, and advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis was diagnosed by LS ≥ 9 kPa. The independent effect of hepatic steatosis on HCC was examined via propensity score matching (PSM) of LS and other significant clinical variables.

Results: Forty-eight patients developed HCC among 2403 CHB patients (55.6% male, median age 55.6 years, 57.1% antiviral-treated, median ALT 26 U/L) during a median follow-up of 46.4 months. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed age (HR 1.063), male (HR 2.032), Albumin-Bilirubin score (HR 2.393) and CAP (HR 0.993) were associated with HCC development. The cumulative probability of HCC was 2.88%, 1.56% and 0.71%, respectively for patients with no steatosis, mild-to-moderate steatosis, and severe steatosis, respectively (p = 0.01). The risk of HCC increased from 1.56 to 8.89% in patients without severe steatosis if advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis was present (p < 0.001). PSM yielded 957 pairs of CHB patients and hepatic steatosis was independently associated with HCC (HR 0.41).

Conclusion: Reduced hepatic steatosis was significantly associated with a higher risk of incident HCC in CHB infection. Routine CAP and LS measurements are important for risk stratification.