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Article: An updated hip fracture projection in Asia: The Asian Federation of Osteoporosis Societies study

TitleAn updated hip fracture projection in Asia: The Asian Federation of Osteoporosis Societies study
Authors
Issue Date2018
PublisherThe Korean Society of Osteoporosis, production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. The Journal's web site is located at http://elsevier.com/locate/afos
Citation
Osteoporos Sarcopenia, 2018, v. 4 n. 1, p. 16-21 How to Cite?
AbstractObjectives: Hip fracture is a major public health problem. Earlier studies projected that the total number of hip fracture will increase dramatically by 2050, and most of the hip fracture will occur in Asia. To date, only a few studies provided the updated projection, and none of them focused on the hip fracture projection in Asia. Thus, it is essential to provide the most up to date prediction of hip fracture in Asia, and to evaluate the total direct medical cost of hip fracture in Asia. Methods: We provide the updated projection of hip fracture in 9 Asian Federation of Osteoporosis Societies members using the most updated incidence rate and projected population size. Results: We show that the number of hip fracture will increase from 1,124,060 in 2018 to 2,563,488 in 2050, a 2.28-fold increase. This increase is mainly due to the changes on the population demographics, especially in China and India, which have the largest population size. The direct cost of hip fracture will increase from 9.5 billion United State dollar (USD) in 2018 to 15 billion USD in 2050, resulting a 1.59-fold increase. A 2%-3% decrease in incidence rate of hip fracture annually is required to keep the total number of hip fracture constant over time. Conclusions: The results show that hip fracture remains a key public health issue in Asia, despite the available of better diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of fracture over the recent years. Healthcare policy in Asia should be aimed to reduce the burden of hip fracture.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/269601
ISSN

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorCheung, CL-
dc.contributor.authorAng, SB-
dc.contributor.authorChadha, M-
dc.contributor.authorChow, ES-
dc.contributor.authorChung, YS-
dc.contributor.authorHew, FL-
dc.contributor.authorJaisamrarn, U-
dc.contributor.authorNg, H-
dc.contributor.authorTakeuchi, Y-
dc.contributor.authorWu, CH-
dc.contributor.authorXia, W-
dc.contributor.authorYu, J-
dc.contributor.authorFujiwara, S-
dc.date.accessioned2019-04-24T08:11:00Z-
dc.date.available2019-04-24T08:11:00Z-
dc.date.issued2018-
dc.identifier.citationOsteoporos Sarcopenia, 2018, v. 4 n. 1, p. 16-21-
dc.identifier.issn2405-5255-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/269601-
dc.description.abstractObjectives: Hip fracture is a major public health problem. Earlier studies projected that the total number of hip fracture will increase dramatically by 2050, and most of the hip fracture will occur in Asia. To date, only a few studies provided the updated projection, and none of them focused on the hip fracture projection in Asia. Thus, it is essential to provide the most up to date prediction of hip fracture in Asia, and to evaluate the total direct medical cost of hip fracture in Asia. Methods: We provide the updated projection of hip fracture in 9 Asian Federation of Osteoporosis Societies members using the most updated incidence rate and projected population size. Results: We show that the number of hip fracture will increase from 1,124,060 in 2018 to 2,563,488 in 2050, a 2.28-fold increase. This increase is mainly due to the changes on the population demographics, especially in China and India, which have the largest population size. The direct cost of hip fracture will increase from 9.5 billion United State dollar (USD) in 2018 to 15 billion USD in 2050, resulting a 1.59-fold increase. A 2%-3% decrease in incidence rate of hip fracture annually is required to keep the total number of hip fracture constant over time. Conclusions: The results show that hip fracture remains a key public health issue in Asia, despite the available of better diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of fracture over the recent years. Healthcare policy in Asia should be aimed to reduce the burden of hip fracture.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.publisherThe Korean Society of Osteoporosis, production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. The Journal's web site is located at http://elsevier.com/locate/afos-
dc.relation.ispartofOsteoporos Sarcopenia-
dc.rightsThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.-
dc.titleAn updated hip fracture projection in Asia: The Asian Federation of Osteoporosis Societies study-
dc.typeArticle-
dc.identifier.emailCheung, CL: lung1212@hku.hk-
dc.identifier.authorityCheung, CL=rp01749-
dc.description.naturepublished_or_final_version-
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.afos.2018.03.003-
dc.identifier.hkuros297357-
dc.identifier.volume4-
dc.identifier.issue1-
dc.identifier.spage16-
dc.identifier.epage21-
dc.publisher.placeKorea, Republic of-

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