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Conference Paper: Predicting ecosystem shifts requires new approaches that integrate the effects of climate change across entire systems

TitlePredicting ecosystem shifts requires new approaches that integrate the effects of climate change across entire systems
Authors
KeywordsSpecies interactions
Climate change
Ecosystem shift
Global warming
Ocean acidification
Productivity and consumption
Issue Date2012
Citation
Biology Letters, 2012, v. 8, n. 2, p. 164-166 How to Cite?
AbstractMost studies that forecast the ecological consequences of climate change target a single species and a single life stage. Depending on climatic impacts on other life stages and on interacting species, however, the results from simple experiments may not translate into accurate predictions of future ecological change. Research needs to move beyond simple experimental studies and environmental envelope projections for single species towards identifying where ecosystem change is likely to occur and the drivers for this change. For this to happen, we advocate research directions that (i) identify the critical species within the target ecosystem, and the life stage(s) most susceptible to changing conditions and (ii) the key interactions between these species and components of their broader ecosystem. A combined approach using macroecology, experimentally derived data and modelling that incorporates energy budgets in life cycle models may identify critical abiotic conditions that disproportionately alter important ecological processes under forecasted climates. © 2011 The Royal Society.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/213230
ISSN
2015 Impact Factor: 2.823
2015 SCImago Journal Rankings: 1.890

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorRussell, Bayden D.-
dc.contributor.authorHarley, Christopher D G-
dc.contributor.authorWernberg, Thomas-
dc.contributor.authorMieszkowska, Nova-
dc.contributor.authorWiddicombe, Stephen-
dc.contributor.authorHall-Spencer, Jason M.-
dc.contributor.authorConnell, Sean D.-
dc.date.accessioned2015-07-28T04:06:36Z-
dc.date.available2015-07-28T04:06:36Z-
dc.date.issued2012-
dc.identifier.citationBiology Letters, 2012, v. 8, n. 2, p. 164-166-
dc.identifier.issn1744-9561-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/213230-
dc.description.abstractMost studies that forecast the ecological consequences of climate change target a single species and a single life stage. Depending on climatic impacts on other life stages and on interacting species, however, the results from simple experiments may not translate into accurate predictions of future ecological change. Research needs to move beyond simple experimental studies and environmental envelope projections for single species towards identifying where ecosystem change is likely to occur and the drivers for this change. For this to happen, we advocate research directions that (i) identify the critical species within the target ecosystem, and the life stage(s) most susceptible to changing conditions and (ii) the key interactions between these species and components of their broader ecosystem. A combined approach using macroecology, experimentally derived data and modelling that incorporates energy budgets in life cycle models may identify critical abiotic conditions that disproportionately alter important ecological processes under forecasted climates. © 2011 The Royal Society.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.relation.ispartofBiology Letters-
dc.subjectSpecies interactions-
dc.subjectClimate change-
dc.subjectEcosystem shift-
dc.subjectGlobal warming-
dc.subjectOcean acidification-
dc.subjectProductivity and consumption-
dc.titlePredicting ecosystem shifts requires new approaches that integrate the effects of climate change across entire systems-
dc.typeConference_Paper-
dc.description.natureLink_to_subscribed_fulltext-
dc.identifier.doi10.1098/rsbl.2011.0779-
dc.identifier.pmid21900317-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-84859512561-
dc.identifier.volume8-
dc.identifier.issue2-
dc.identifier.spage164-
dc.identifier.epage166-
dc.identifier.eissn1744-957X-

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