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- Publisher Website: 10.1016/0040-5809(89)90030-0
- Scopus: eid_2-s2.0-0024743270
- PMID: 2814904
- WOS: WOS:A1989AX01700006
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Article: Estimating the initial relative infection rate for a stochastic epidemic model
Title | Estimating the initial relative infection rate for a stochastic epidemic model |
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Authors | |
Issue Date | 1989 |
Publisher | Academic Press. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.elsevier.com/locate/tpb |
Citation | Theoretical Population Biology, 1989, v. 36 n. 2, p. 202-213 How to Cite? |
Abstract | Consider the problem of making inference about the initial relative infection rate of a stochastic epidemic model. A relatively complete analysis of infectious disease data is possible when it is assumed that the latent and infectious periods are nonrandom. Here two related martingale-based techniques are used to derive estimates and associated standard errors for the initial relative infection rate. The first technique requires complete information on the epidemic, the second only the total number of people who were infected and the population size. Explicit expressions for the estimates are obtained. The estimates of the parameter and its associated standard error are easily computed and compare well with results of other methods in an application to smallpox data. Asymptotic efficiency differences between the two martingale techniques are considered. © 1989. |
Persistent Identifier | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/171992 |
ISSN | 2021 Impact Factor: 1.514 2020 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.755 |
ISI Accession Number ID |
DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.contributor.author | Yip, P | en_US |
dc.date.accessioned | 2012-10-30T06:19:33Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2012-10-30T06:19:33Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 1989 | en_US |
dc.identifier.citation | Theoretical Population Biology, 1989, v. 36 n. 2, p. 202-213 | en_US |
dc.identifier.issn | 0040-5809 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/171992 | - |
dc.description.abstract | Consider the problem of making inference about the initial relative infection rate of a stochastic epidemic model. A relatively complete analysis of infectious disease data is possible when it is assumed that the latent and infectious periods are nonrandom. Here two related martingale-based techniques are used to derive estimates and associated standard errors for the initial relative infection rate. The first technique requires complete information on the epidemic, the second only the total number of people who were infected and the population size. Explicit expressions for the estimates are obtained. The estimates of the parameter and its associated standard error are easily computed and compare well with results of other methods in an application to smallpox data. Asymptotic efficiency differences between the two martingale techniques are considered. © 1989. | en_US |
dc.language | eng | en_US |
dc.publisher | Academic Press. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.elsevier.com/locate/tpb | en_US |
dc.relation.ispartof | Theoretical Population Biology | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Communicable Diseases - Epidemiology | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Disease Outbreaks - Statistics & Numerical Data | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Humans | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Models, Statistical | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Nigeria | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Population Density | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Smallpox - Epidemiology | en_US |
dc.subject.mesh | Stochastic Processes | en_US |
dc.title | Estimating the initial relative infection rate for a stochastic epidemic model | en_US |
dc.type | Article | en_US |
dc.identifier.email | Yip, P: sfpyip@hku.hk | en_US |
dc.identifier.authority | Yip, P=rp00596 | en_US |
dc.description.nature | link_to_subscribed_fulltext | en_US |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1016/0040-5809(89)90030-0 | - |
dc.identifier.pmid | 2814904 | - |
dc.identifier.scopus | eid_2-s2.0-0024743270 | en_US |
dc.identifier.volume | 36 | en_US |
dc.identifier.issue | 2 | en_US |
dc.identifier.spage | 202 | en_US |
dc.identifier.epage | 213 | en_US |
dc.identifier.isi | WOS:A1989AX01700006 | - |
dc.publisher.place | United States | en_US |
dc.identifier.scopusauthorid | Yip, P=7102503720 | en_US |
dc.identifier.issnl | 0040-5809 | - |