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Article: A system dynamics model for the sustainable land use planning and development

TitleA system dynamics model for the sustainable land use planning and development
Authors
KeywordsModel
Policy
Sustainable land use
System dynamics
Issue Date2009
PublisherPergamon. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.elsevier.com/locate/habitatint
Citation
Habitat International, 2009, v. 33 n. 1, p. 15-25 How to Cite?
AbstractThis paper applies a system dynamics model for the sustainable land use and urban development in Hong Kong. The model is used to test the outcomes of development policy scenarios and make forecasts. It consists of five sub-systems including population, economy, housing, transport and urban/developed land, respectively. Two distinctively different development schemes concerning urban population density are simulated by the model and the findings are undertaken to verify the model through comparison with historical data and sensitivity check. The forecast timeframe is then expanded from 40 years to 300 years, providing a simulation period long enough to observe and study the "limits to growth" phenomenon and the impacts on development potential of Hong Kong. The modelling results are directly useful to compare different dynamic consequences brought by various policies and decisions, and are thus of great significance to achieving the goal of sustainable land use. © 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/167161
ISSN
2015 Impact Factor: 2.029
2015 SCImago Journal Rankings: 1.038
ISI Accession Number ID
References

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorShen, Qen_HK
dc.contributor.authorChen, Qen_HK
dc.contributor.authorTang, Bsen_HK
dc.contributor.authorYeung, Sen_HK
dc.contributor.authorHu, Yen_HK
dc.contributor.authorCheung, Gen_HK
dc.date.accessioned2012-09-28T04:04:41Z-
dc.date.available2012-09-28T04:04:41Z-
dc.date.issued2009en_HK
dc.identifier.citationHabitat International, 2009, v. 33 n. 1, p. 15-25en_HK
dc.identifier.issn0197-3975en_HK
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/167161-
dc.description.abstractThis paper applies a system dynamics model for the sustainable land use and urban development in Hong Kong. The model is used to test the outcomes of development policy scenarios and make forecasts. It consists of five sub-systems including population, economy, housing, transport and urban/developed land, respectively. Two distinctively different development schemes concerning urban population density are simulated by the model and the findings are undertaken to verify the model through comparison with historical data and sensitivity check. The forecast timeframe is then expanded from 40 years to 300 years, providing a simulation period long enough to observe and study the "limits to growth" phenomenon and the impacts on development potential of Hong Kong. The modelling results are directly useful to compare different dynamic consequences brought by various policies and decisions, and are thus of great significance to achieving the goal of sustainable land use. © 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.en_HK
dc.languageengen_US
dc.publisherPergamon. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.elsevier.com/locate/habitatinten_HK
dc.relation.ispartofHabitat Internationalen_HK
dc.subjectModelen_HK
dc.subjectPolicyen_HK
dc.subjectSustainable land useen_HK
dc.subjectSystem dynamicsen_HK
dc.titleA system dynamics model for the sustainable land use planning and developmenten_HK
dc.typeArticleen_HK
dc.identifier.emailTang, Bs: bsbstang@hku.hken_HK
dc.identifier.authorityTang, Bs=rp01646en_HK
dc.description.naturelink_to_subscribed_fulltexten_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.habitatint.2008.02.004en_HK
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-56949089626en_HK
dc.relation.referenceshttp://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-56949089626&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpageen_HK
dc.identifier.volume33en_HK
dc.identifier.issue1en_HK
dc.identifier.spage15en_HK
dc.identifier.epage25en_HK
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000262208700003-
dc.publisher.placeUnited Kingdomen_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridShen, Q=7402933134en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridChen, Q=35794508100en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridTang, Bs=7402560881en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridYeung, S=8927012100en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridHu, Y=24280670600en_HK
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridCheung, G=36754241100en_HK

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