Seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclone activity
Dr Kyle, William John (Principal investigator)
Other Funding Scheme
To enhance our ability to provide useful pre-season estimates of tropical cyclone activity in the Western North Pacific Ocean in general, and in the area affecting Hong Kong, in particular, with the aim of improving the capacity to mitigate against the potential hazards posed by such phenomena. Research in progress is designed to clarify the tropical cyclone climatology of the area; to establish the role of the climatic controls which affect the interannual variability of tropical cyclone activity; and to develop an operationally useful Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Forecast Model (STCFM) for this area.